Weekend #17 of 2014 is looking like a not so hot $99 million for the top 12 films, 11% below the typical volume for this weekend the past few years ($111 million).
Opening at around 3,000 theaters Friday (somewhat above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), The Other Woman from Fox should average $5,900 per theater for the weekend (for a $17.5 million opening weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had a three-day opening weekend of $5,300 per theater for a $14.5 million weekend.] Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are middling: 47% positive so far. The Other Woman is on track for around $62 million domestic. Overseas the film could gross about $58 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $120 million.
Opening at around 2,400 theaters Friday, Brick Mansions from Relativity should average $3,900 per theater for the weekend (for a $9.5 million opening weekend). No early reviews at RottenTomatoes so far. Brick Mansions is on track for around $23 million domestic. Limited overseas potential: maybe $12 million. Worldwide box office target: $35 million.
Opening at about 2,000 theaters Friday, The Quiet Ones from Lionsgate/Summit should average $3,500 per theater for the weekend (for a $6.5 million opening weekend). Mediocre reviews at RottenTomatoes currently: 50% positive so far. The Quiet Ones is on track for around $16 million domestic. Overseas forecast is a small $7 million, giving The Quiet Ones a worldwide box office target of $23 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND April 25-27, 2014 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Other Woman | Fox | PG13 | 47% | 17.5 | 62 | |
| Brick Mansions | Rel | PG13 | n/a | 9.5 | 23 | |
| The Quiet Ones | LG/Sum | PG13 | 50% | 6.5 | 16 | |
Among the holdovers, Heaven Is For Real joins Rio 2 and Captain America: The Winter Soldier as the significant players.
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RETURNING FILMS April 25-27, 2014 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Captain America: The Winter Soldier | Dis | -40% | 15.4 | 265 | |
| Heaven Is for Real | Sony | -34% | 14.9 | 76 | |
| Rio 2 | Fox | -40% | 13.4 | 131 | |
| Transcendence | WB | -55% | 4.9 | 22 | |
| A Haunted House 2 | Open R | -56% | 3.9 | 19 | |
| Draft Day | LG/Sum | -40% | 3.4 | 34 | |
| Divergent | LG/Sum | -39% | 3.4 | 149 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $111 million total, ranking 36th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $82 million (while 2012 was $97 million, 2011 was $145 million and 2010 was $92 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like $99 million, 11% below the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but 21% above the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years
4.26.2013
Pain and Gain Par R Mark Wahlberg The Rock
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $19 Actual: $20
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $50 Actual: $50
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $36
The Big Wedding LG/Sum R Robert DeNiro Susan Sarandon
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $18 Actual: $22
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
4.27.2012
The Pirates! Band of Misfits Sony PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $35 Actual: $31
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $89
Five-Year Engagement Uni R Jason Segel Emily Blunt
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $18 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $33 Actual: $29
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $24
Safe LG R Jason Statham
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $19 Actual: $17
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $23
The Raven Rel R John Cucask Luke Evans
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $14 Actual: $16
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $10
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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