Weekend #45 of 2014 is looking like $167 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 19% from the norm for this weekend.
Opening at 3,500 theaters Friday (well above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Interstellar from Paramount should average a terrific $18,500 per theater for the weekend (for a $64.5 million opening three-day weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had a three-day opening weekend of $5,300 per theater for a $14.5 million weekend.] With previews at several hundred large-format screens Wednesday and Thursday, the film should total $68 million in its first five days. Critical sentiment is positive: 74% positive so far at RottenTomatoes. Interstellar is on track for around $185 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in around $310 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $495 million.
Opening at around 3,700 theaters Friday, Big Hero 6 from Disney should average a very good $15,500 per theater for the weekend (for a $57.5 million three-day weekend). Critical sentiment is very supportive: 82% positive reviews. Big Hero 6 is on track for around $195 million domestic. Overseas the film could gross $295 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $490 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND Nov 7-9, 2014 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Interstellar | Par | PG13 | 74% | 64.5 | 185 | |
| Big Hero 6 | Dis | PG | 82% | 57.5 | 195 | |
And now all the holders are below $6 million each this weekend. It’s all up to the big guns opening this weekend to drive the box office.
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RETURNING FILMS Nov 7-9, 2014 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Nightcrawler | OpenR | -45% | 5.8 | 40 | |
| Gone Girl | Fox | -32% | 5.8 | 161 | |
| Fury | Sony | -42% | 5.2 | 84 | |
| Ouija | Uni | -53% | 5.1 | 54 | |
| St. Vincent | Weins | -29% | 5.1 | 41 | |
| The Book of Life | Fox | -49% | 4.2 | 59 | |
| John Wick | LG/Sum | -49% | 4.1 | 50 | |
| Alexander and the… | Dis | -41% | 3.9 | 67 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $140 million total, ranking 19th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $160 million (while 2012 was $163 million, 2011 was $126 million and 2010 was $112 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a very good $167 million, up 19% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up 4% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years
11.8.2013
Thor: The Dark World Dis PG13 Chris Hemsworth Natalie Portman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $96 Actual: $86
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $229 Actual: $206
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $438
About Time Uni R Tom Hollander Rachel McAdams
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $6 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $22 Actual: $15
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $72
11.9.2012
Skyfall Sony PG13 Daniel Craig Judi Dench
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $80 Actual: $88
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $264 Actual: $304
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $804
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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