Weekend #25 of 2015 is looking like $202 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly above the norm for the same weekend the past few years and way above last year’s misfire on this weekend (see comparisons below).
Inside Out from Disney should open with a $70.0 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are unanimous: 100% positive overall so far at a meaningful 50+ reviews currently. Inside Out is on track for around $235 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $445 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $680 million.
Dope from Open Road Films should open with a $7.9 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are quite positive: 90% positive overall so far. Dope is on track for around $29 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $15 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $44 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 19-21, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Inside Out | Dis | PG | 100% | 70.0 | 235 | |
| Dope | Open | R | 90% | 7.9 | 29 | |
Jurassic World becomes the main support on the holdover bench this weekend.
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RETURNING FILMS June 19-21, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Jurassic World | Uni | -56% | 91.2 | 525 | |
| Spy | Fox | -36% | 10.0 | 100 | |
| San Andreas | WB | -49% | 5.6 | 152 | |
| Pitch Perfect 2 | Uni | -41% | 3.8 | 189 | |
| Insidious Chapter 3 | Foc | -55% | 3.3 | 50 | |
| Avengers: Age of Ultron | Dis | -37% | 2.3 | 453 | |
| Mad Max: Fury Road | WB | -49% | 2.1 | 154 | |
| Entourage | WB | -52% | 2.0 | 33 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $175 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 8th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was an atypically low $139 million (while 2013 was $232 million, 2012 was $157 million and 2011 was $170 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a very respectable $202 million, up +16% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +45% from the same weekend last year, which was quite soft.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
6.20.2014
Think Like a Man Too Sony PG13 Michael Ealy Jerry Ferrara
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $36 Actual: $29
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $67 Actual: $65
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $5
Jersey Boys WB R Christopher Walken
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $12 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $48 Actual: $47
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $20
The Rover A24 R Robert Pattinson Guy Pearce
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $1 Actual: $0
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $1 Actual: $1
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
6.21.2013
Monsters University Dis G
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $79 Actual: $82
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $297 Actual: $268
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $475
World War Z Par PG13 Brad Pitt Mireille Enos
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $45 Actual: $66
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $200 Actual: $202
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $338
The Bling Ring A24 R Emma Watson Leslie Mann
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $8 Actual: $6
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $13
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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