Weekend #35 of 2015 is looking like $68 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
We Are You Friends from Warner Brothers should open with a $9.0 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are soft: 37% positive overall so far. We Are Your Friends is on track for around $26 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $9 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $35 million.
No Escape from Weinstein Company should open with a $7.0 million Friday-Sunday weekend and about $9 million Wednesday through Sunday. Critics are not impressed: 40% positive reviews so far. No Escape is on track for around $16 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $7 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $23 million.
The War Room from Sony should open with a $5.5 million three-day weekend. No reviews yet for this film. War Room is on track for around $8 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $1 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $9 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 28-30, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| We Are Your Friends | WB | R | 37% | 9.0 | 26 | |
| No Escape | Weins | R | 40% | 7.0 | 16 | |
| The War Room | Sony | PG | n/a | 5.5 | 8 | |
Straight Outta Compton will be the #1 holdover this weekend by far and still the #1 film overall with almost no competition from the new films.
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RETURNING FILMS August 28-30, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Straight Outta Compton | Uni | -42% | 15.3 | 178 | |
| Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation | Par | -28% | 8.2 | 191 | |
| The Man from U.N.C.L.E. | WB | -42% | 4.2 | 46 | |
| Sinister 2 | Foc | -64% | 3.8 | 19 | |
| Hitman: Agent 47 | Fox | -57% | 3.6 | 13 | |
| Ant-Man | Dis | -29% | 2.9 | 178 | |
| The Gift | STX | -35% | 2.8 | 44 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $87 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 47th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $88 million (while 2013 was $93 million, 2012 was $86 million and 2011 was $82 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a really weak $68 million, down -22% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -23% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
8.29.2014
As Above/So Below Uni R
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $15 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $23 Actual: $21
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $19
The November Man Rel R Pierce Brosnan Olga Kurylenko
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $12 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $28 Actual: $25
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $8
8.30.2013
Instructions Not Included LG/Sum PG13
Opening Weekend — Forecast: n/a Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $44 Actual: $44
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $41
One Direction: This Is Us Sony PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $13 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $33 Actual: $29
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $40
Getaway WB PG13 Ethan Hawke Selena Gomez
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $6 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $8 Actual: $10
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Closed Circuit Uni PG13 Eric Bana Rebecca Hall
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $3 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $6 Actual: $6
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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