Weekend #38 of 2015 is looking like $120 million for the top 12 films this weekend, well above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials from Fox should open with a $40.5 million weekend. Reviews are fairly positive: 59% positive at RottenTomatoes. Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials is on track for around $119 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $285 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $404 million.
This would be up from the $340 million worldwide for The Maze Runner (released 9.19.2014) and totaled $102 million domestic and $238 million overseas.
Black Mass from Warner Brothers should open with a $28.5 million weekend. Solid critical response: 82% positive in early reviews. Black Mass is on track for around $89 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $81 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $170 million.
Also, Everest from Universal previews this weekend at over 500 Imax screens this weekend (probably headed for $7.5 million) before opening wide next weekend.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 18-20, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials | Fox | PG13 | 59% | 40.5 | 119 | |
| Black Mass | WB | PG13 | 82% | 28.5 | 89 | |
Not much support at the box office from the holdovers, with $5 or 6 million enough to top the list of returning films this weekend.
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RETURNING FILMS September 18-20, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| The Perfect Guy | Sony | -54% | 11.8 | 70 | |
| The Visit | Uni | -57% | 10.8 | 71 | |
| War Room | Sony | -28% | 5.6 | 62 | |
| A Walk In the Woods | BG | -36% | 3.0 | 31 | |
| Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation | Par | -37% | 2.6 | 203 | |
| Straight Outta Compton | Uni | -48% | 2.0 | 169 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $87 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 48th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $92 million (while 2013 was $73 million, 2012 was $75 million and 2011 was $106 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a strong $120 million, up +39% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +30% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
9.19.2014
Maze Runner Fox PG13 Dylan O’Brien Kaya Scodelario
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $32 Actual: $33
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $101 Actual: $102
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $238
A Walk Among the Tombstones Uni R Liam Neeson Dan Stevens
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $32 Actual: $26
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $27
This Is Where I Leave You WB R Jason Bateman Tina Fey
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $12
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $39 Actual: $34
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $7
9.20.2013
Prisoners WB R Hugh Jackman Jake Gyllenhaal
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $21
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $69 Actual: $61
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $61
Battle of the Year Sony PG13 Josh Holloway Chris Brown
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $6 Actual: $9
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $8
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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