Weekend #8 of 2016 is looking like $133 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norms for this normally sleepy weekend (see comparisons below).
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND February 19-21, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Risen | Sony | PG13 | n/a | 9.5 | 23 | 10 | 33 | |
Race | Focus | PG13 | n/a | 9.0 | 27 | 5 | 32 | |
The Witch | A24 | R | 87% | 6.5 | 16 | 18 | 34 |
Returning film chart:
RETURNING FILMS February 19-21, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
Deadpool | Fox | -49% | 67.0 | 380 | ||
Kung Fu Panda 3 | Fox | -33% | 13.3 | 135 | ||
How to Be Single | WB | -67% | 6.0 | 50 | ||
The Revenant | Fox | -27% | 4.8 | 182 | ||
Zoolander 2 | Par | -66% | 4.7 | 36 | ||
Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -32% | 4.2 | 930 | ||
Hail, Caesar! | Uni | -60% | 2.6 | 39 |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $102 million total, ranking 42nd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $107 million (while 2014 was $98 million, 2013 was $88 million and 2012 was $114 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like $133 million, up +31% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +24% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
2.20.2015
McFarland, USA Dis PG Maria Bello Kevin Costner
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $10 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $45 Actual: $44
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
The DUFF LG/Sum PG13
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $38 Actual: $34
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $9
Hot Tub Time Machine 2 Par R Adam Scott Clark Duke
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $13 Actual: $6
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $11 Actual: $12
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
2.21.2014
Pompeii Sony PG13 Kit Harrington Emily Browning
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $10
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $25 Actual: $23
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $95
3 Days to Kill Rel PG13 Kevin Costner Hailee Steinfled
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $10 Actual: $12
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $29 Actual: $31
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $22
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.