Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #17 of 2015 looks like $81 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well below the norm for this weekend. Opening at 2,991 theaters Friday, The Age of Adaline from Lionsgate is on track for a $12.2 million opening three-day weekend (somewhat above our $10.5 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). The film is pacing toward a […]

> NEW YEAR’S EVE (Warners):  Hardly any bump from Saturday night couples meant about as low an opening as anyone could have reasonably imagined.  Even with some play during Christmas week, the picture may struggle to earn more than its $56M production budget (which is separate from a likely $100M+ worldwide marketing budget).  After J. […]

  Expectations that this would be a dreadful weekend at the boxoffice are already being proved true.  The “big” opening of the week, THE WORDS (CBS) couldn’t even beat last week’s horror cheapie THE POSSESSION (Lionsgate) on its own opening day.  Words, according to early numbers at Deadline, will only make $1.7M on Friday, for a terrible $5M […]

Marvel’s The Avengers (distributed by Disney) has jumped to $441.5 million to date overseas (up from $178.4 million last week, when it opened ahead of Friday’s North American debut).  United Kingdom ($25.7 million so far) and Australia ($20.2 million) lead the international charge so far, although there are also impressive results from Mexico ($17.4 million), South Korea […]

  OPENINGS:  TERMINATOR: GENISYS (Skydance/Paramount) had hoped, even with July 4th subduing Saturday business, to find a holiday spark that would allow it to earn at least a $150M total in the US, but after a $28.7M opening weekend ($44.2M including Wed-Thurs), it may be hard-pressed to get past $100M.  That puts additional pressure on […]

  The 41% Weekend 3 drop for THE DARK KNIGHT RISES (Warners) is a bit better than Dark Knight‘s parallel 43% decline, but in actual numbers, Dark Knight‘s 3d weekend is $6.3M ahead ($42.7M vs $36.4M), and the $39M gap that separates them probably can’t be bridged. Internationally, though, Rises is at $378M in only […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #24 of 2015 looks like $269 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, well above the norm for this weekend into record territory.   Opening at 4,273 theaters Friday, Jurassic World from Universal is on track for a $210.0 million opening three-day weekend according to the studio (miles above our pessimistic $117.0 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast […]

> The summer movie season is starting with a bang:  according to preliminary numbers at Deadline, THE AVENGERS (Disney) is off to a $70M opening day.  If that number holds, it’ll be the #4 opening day of all time, behind only the final Harry Potter and 2 Twilights, and slightly ahead of, among others, The […]