Weekend #35 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 26-28, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Don’t Breathe | Sony | R | 91% | 18.5 | 52 | 48 | 100 | |
Mechanic: Resurrection | LG | R | n/a | 7.5 | 17 | 27 | 44 | |
Hands of Stone | Weins | R | 46% | 2.5 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS August 26-28, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
Suicide Squad | WB | -51% | 10.2 | 305 | ||
Sausage Party | Sony | -48% | 8.0 | 108 | ||
Kubo and the Two Strings | Focus | -38% | 7.8 | 47 | ||
War Dogs | WB | -48% | 7.7 | 55 | ||
Pete’s Dragon | Dis | -39% | 6.9 | 78 | ||
Bad Moms | STX | -32% | 5.4 | 110 | ||
Ben-Hur | Par | -55% | 5.0 | 25 | ||
Jason Bourne | Uni | -42% | 4.7 | 159 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- War Dogs: $15.2 million predicted and $14.7 million actual
- Kubo and the Two Strings: $15.7 million predicted and $12.6 million actual
- Ben-Hur: $12.5 million predicted and $11.2 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.