Weekend #34 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND August 19-21, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Kubo and the Two Strings | Focus | PG | 90% | 15.7 | 44 | 56 | 100 | |
War Dogs | WB | R | 63% | 15.2 | 40 | 45 | 85 | |
Ben-Hur | Par | PG13 | 33% | 12.5 | 30 | 80 | 110 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS August 19-21, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
Suicide Squad | WB | -56% | 19.0 | 310 | ||
Sausage Party | Sony | -53% | 16.1 | 128 | ||
Pete’s Dragon | Dis | -34% | 14.3 | 99 | ||
Bad Moms | STX | -27% | 8.3 | 105 | ||
Jason Bourne | Uni | -42% | 8.1 | 158 | ||
Secret Life of Pets | Uni | -28% | 6.5 | 370 | ||
Star Trek Beyond | Par | -32% | 4.7 | 160 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Sausage Party: $29.5 million predicted and $34.3 million actual
- Pete’s Dragon: $27.0 million predicted and $21.5 million actual
- Florence Foster Jenkins: $6.5 million predicted and $6.6 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.