With Saturday’s grosses now tallied, Weekend #4 of 2013 is looking like $88 million for the top 12 films (up significantly from the $80 million estimate yesterday but still down 13% from the comparable weekend average).
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters now looks like a $19 million opening weekend, up from the $16 million estimate yesterday and above the $16.8 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast earlier this week. The film’s final domestic estimate has been upgraded to $48 million.
Parker is now on track for a $7.0 million weekend, up from yesterday’s $6.5 million estimate but still below the $8.8 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast. Parker has been upgraded a touch to $19 million total domestic.
Movie 43 is now headed for a $5.0 million opening weekend, up a bit from the $4.6 million yesterday and still significantly under the $11.5 million ShowbuzzDaily forecast on Wednesday. The film is now on track for an $8 million total domestic gross.
Zero Dark Thirty and Silver Linings Playbook continue to play well and have been upgraded to $100 million and $95 million total domestic, respectively.
| Weekend 4: January 25-27, 2013 | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Pre-Wknd Showbuzz Forecast | Early Weekend Estimate | Weekend Studio Estimate | Actual Fri–Sat Gross | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||
| Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters | Par | [16.8] | 16.0 | 19.0 | 6.0–8.3 | 48 | |
| Mama | Uni | [14.7] | 12.5 | 12.9 | 3.9–6.3 | 77 | |
| Silver Linings Playbook | Weins | [7.8] | 8.7 | 10.0 | 2.3–4.6 | 95 | |
| Zero Dark Thirty | Sony | [10.2] | 8.5 | 9.8 | 2.3–4.7 | 100 | |
| Parker | FilmDis | [8.8] | 6.5 | 7.0 | 2.1–2.9 | 19 | |
| Movie 43 | Rel | [11.5] | 4.6 | 5.0 | 1.8–1.9 | 8 | |
| Django Unchained | Weins | [5.0] | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.2–2.3 | 165 | |
| Gangster Squad | WB | [4.6] | 3.9 | 4.2 | 1.1–1.9 | 50 | |
| Broken City | Fox | [—] | 3.6 | 4.0 | 1.0–1.9 | 22 | |
| Les Miserables | Uni | [4.9] | 3.8 | 3.9 | 1.0–2.0 | 150 | |
| Lincoln | DW/Fox/Dis | [4.2] | 3.5 | 3.9 | 0.9–1.9 | 175 | |
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is a reminder of each film’s ShowBuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are now looking like $88 million total Friday-Sunday, higher than the $80 million estimate yesterday but still down 13% from the average comparable weekend the last four years and down 10% from the same weekend last year.
| WEEKEND #4 | ($ millions) | ||
| Weekend Volume: Top 12 Films | Top Movies Opening Each Weekend (Fri-Sun only) | ||
| 2013 | $88 | Hansel & Gretel $19, Parker $7, Movie 43 $5 | |
| 2012 | $98 | The Grey $20, One for the Money $11, Man on a Ledge $8 | |
| 2011 | $92 | The Rite $15, The Mechanic $11 | |
| 2010 | $110 | Edge of Darkness $17, When in Rome $12 | |
| 2009 | $103 | Taken $25, The Uninvited $10, New in Town $7 | |
| Avg 2009-12 | $101 | ||
Check back later for the International Box Office report.
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