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April 12, 2011
 

INTERNATIONAL NUMBERS: Hop Becomes a Player But Watch Out for Rio

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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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The updated worldwide grosses rankings show that Rango (Paramount) has slightly expanded its lead (with more room to grow) and that Battle: Los Angeles (Sony) is poised to challenge The Green Hornet (also Sony) for #2.  

Hop (Disney) enters the chart in the top 10, at #8, with some serious upside in the coming weeks.  It will probably finish just behind Rango, although it could make the race for the top of the January-April rankings interesting.  Perhaps even more interesting is another animated, anthropomorphic animal movie, Rio (Fox), which opened this weekend with a dazzling $55 million overseas.  It will enter the chart next week when we have North American results.  In any case, talking lizards, bunnies and birds will end up dominating the top 5 worldwide.  

Fox originally planned to open Rio worldwide April 8, but decided to shift North America to the less crowded weekend of April 15.  However, the international dates were set, and we have the unusual instance of a film opening wide outside its home territory first.

JAN-APR 2011 FILM GROSSES                                   Int’l
 Rank                               ($ millions)          Impact
LW TW                      Worldwide  Domestic   Overseas   Index
 1  1  Rango                  241        128       112*
 2  2  Green Hornet           228         99       130       +3
 3  3  Battle: Los Angeles    194         89       105*      +3
 4  4  Just Go with It        194        106        88       -1

 5  5  Gnomeo and Juliet      179        101        78       -1
 6  6  No Strings Attached    143         71        72       +4

 7  7  I Am Number Four       135         61        74       +5
—  8  Hop                    133        118        15*      -6
 8  9  Unknown                126         75        51      
 9 10  Adjustment Bureau      114         66        48*      +1
10 11  Limitless              106         83        23*      -4
11 12  Justin Bieber: Never    92         73        19       -3
12 13  The Rite                88         32        56       +11

13 14  Season of the Witch     82         25        58       +15

14 15  Big Mommas: Like Father 79         42        37       +5
16 16  Paul                    79         46        33*      +3

15 17  Sanctum                 78         30        48       +9
21 18  Sucker Punch            70         38        32*      +5
17 19  The Dilemma             67         48        18       -2

18 20  Hall Pass               67         48        19       -2
19 21  Lincoln Lawyer          65         60         5       -8
20 22  Diary Wimpy Kid 2       59         59         0       -8
— 23  Source Code             56         50         6*      -8
22 24  Red Riding Hood         54         39        15*      -2
— 25  Insidious               49         49         0       -9
23 26  The Mechanic            49         32        17       -1
24 27  Mars Needs Moms         44         28        16*   

25 28  The Roommate            41         41         0       -7

26 29  The Eagle               35         21        13       +1

27 30  Beastly                 25         25         0       -2
28 31  Country Strong          20         20         0
29 32  Drive Angry 3D          18         13         5
30 33  Take Me Home Tonight     6          6         0

TOTAL Jan-Apr Movies         3023       1832      1191*

Not included in the rankings yet, Rio earned $55 million this past weekend overseas, before its North American release Friday.

How to read: From left to right, the first two numbers are a film’s rankings Last Week (LW) and This Week (TW), Worldwide gross (in millions), which is the sum of Estimated Domestic Final and International gross to date. (The two numbers do not always add up to the worldwide number exactly due to rounding.)  The International Impact Index indicates relative international performance. The Domestic number is either the actual final gross or the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Ultimate estimate if the movie is still playing. The Overseas number is the actual gross to date, which tends to lag in reporting. An asterisk indicates significant overseas upside to come.  The International Impact Index is the difference between a film’s Domestic ranking and its Worldwide ranking. 

The worldwide box office ranking now includes movies released in 2011 through April 1.  (Hop (Disney), Source Code (Summit), and Insidious (FilmDistrict) have been added to the ranking.)   As noted before, Hop looks to be a player internationally, while Source Code and Insidious will struggle to find an overseas audience, partly because of their genres but also because they are not affiliated with a major studio.

The total numbers at the bottom of the chart show that worldwide box office has crossed the $3 billion line, in this, the weakest third of the year.  A reminder, we divide the year into thirds (Winter/Spring movies released between January and April, Summer Movies between May and August, and Fall/Holiday movies between September and December).  We will chart the January-April movies through the end of May, when we will start tracking the international audience for the May-August films.      


Check back tomorrow for a look at the mid-week domestic performance of movies currently in release (a combined look at Monday and Tuesday numbers).   



About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.