Weekend #22 of 2015 is looking like $123 million for the top 12 films this weekend, significantly below the norm for this weekend.
San Andreas from Warner Brothers should open with a $36.0 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are barely tilting negative: 45% positive overall. San Andreas is on track for around $104 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $235 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $339 million.
Aloha from Sony should open with a $12.5 million three-day weekend. No reviews yet at RottenTomatoes. Aloha is on track for around $32 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in another $26 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $58 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND May 29-31, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| San Andreas | WB | PG13 | 45% | 36.0 | 104 | |
| Aloha | Sony | PG13 | n/a | 12.5 | 32 | |
Business is starting to get thin among the holdovers, even toward the top of the heap.
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RETURNING FILMS May 29-31, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Tomorrowland | Dis | -47% | 17.4 | 90 | |
| Pitch Perfect 2 | Uni | -48% | 15.9 | 192 | |
| Mad Max: Fury Road | WB | -45% | 13.5 | 155 | |
| Avengers: Age of Ultron | Dis | -46% | 11.8 | 454 | |
| Poltergeist | Fox | -63% | 8.4 | 57 | |
| Hot Pursuit | WB | -41% | 2.2 | 32 | |
| Furious 7 | Uni | -50% | 1.1 | 353 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $152 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 13th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $160 million (while 2013 was $161 million, 2012 was $135 million and 2011 was $154 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a weak $123 million, down -19% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -23% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
5.30.2014
Maleficent Dis PG Angelina Jolie Sharlto Copley
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $58 Actual: $69
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $213 Actual: $241
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $517
A Million Ways to Die in the West Uni R Seth MacFarlane Charlize Theron
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $30 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $46 Actual: $43
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $43
Chef Open Road R Jon Favreau Sofia Vergara
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $22 Actual: $31
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $15
5.31.2013
Now You See Me LG/Sum PG13 Jesse Eisenberg Isla Fisher
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $22 Actual: $29
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $110 Actual: $118
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $234
After Earth Sony PG13 Will Smith Jaden Smith
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $36 Actual: $28
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $65 Actual: $61
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $183
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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