Weekend #23 of 2015 is looking like $154 million for the top 12 films this weekend, very much on par with the same weekend the past few years.
Spy from Fox should open with a $39.5 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are loving: 96% positive overall so far. Spy is on track for around $133 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $165 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $298 million.
Insidious Chapter 3 from Focus/ Universal should open with a $28.0 million three-day weekend. No reviews yet at RottenTomatoes. Insidious Chapter is on track for around $70 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in another $65 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $135 million.
This would be slightly below the $161.9 million worldwide for Insidious Chapter 2 (released 9.13.2013 with $83.6 million domestic and $78.3 million overseas) but above the $97.0 million worldwide for Insidious (released 4.1.2011 with $54.0 million domestic and $43.0 million overseas).
Entourage from Warner Brothers should collect $17.0 million for the traditional three-day weekend and $26 million for Wednesday-Sunday. In early reviews, critics are not supportive: only 32% positive so far. Entourage is on track for around $66 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in another $44 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $110 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 5-7, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Spy | Fox | R | 96% | 39.5 | 133 | |
| Insidious Chapter 3 | Foc/Uni | PG13 | n/a | 28.0 | 70 | |
| Entourage | WB | R | 32% | 17.0 | 66 | |
San Andreas stands out as the most significant holdover this weekend by far.
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RETURNING FILMS June 5-7, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| San Andreas | WB | -51% | 26.8 | 156 | |
| Pitch Perfect 2 | Uni | -47% | 7.9 | 193 | |
| Tomorrowland | Dis | -46% | 7.7 | 95 | |
| Mad Max: Fury Road | WB | -47% | 7.6 | 165 | |
| Avengers: Age of Ultron | Dis | -45% | 6.3 | 466 | |
| Aloha | Sony | -53% | 4.6 | 24 | |
| Poltergeist | Fox | -60% | 3.2 | 51 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $152 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 14th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $157 million (while 2013 was $143 million, 2012 was $174 million and 2011 was $132 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a fairly typical $154 million, up +2% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -2% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
6.6.2014
Edge of Tomorrow WB PG13 Tom Cruise Emily Blunt
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $30 Actual: $29
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $104 Actual: $100
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $269
The Fault in Our Stars Fox PG13 Shailene Woodley Willem Dafoe
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $36 Actual: $48
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $117 Actual: $125
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $180
6.7.2013
The Internship Fox PG13 Vince Vaughn Owen Wilson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $16 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $46 Actual: $45
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $49
The Purge Uni R Ethan Hawke Lena Headey
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $20 Actual: $34
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $66 Actual: $64
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $25
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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