Weekend #24 of 2015 is looking like $180 million for the top 12 films this weekend, somewhat above the norm for the same weekend the past few years.
Jurassic World from Universal should open with a $117.0 million three-day weekend. Early reviews at RottenTomatoes are solid: 70% positive overall so far. Jurassic World is on track for around $295 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $565 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $860 million.
This would be below the $1.029 billion worldwide for Jurassic Park (released 6.11.1993 with $627 million domestic and $403 million overseas) but above the $619 million worldwide for The Lost World: Jurassic Park (released 5.23.1997 with $229 million domestic and $390 million overseas) and well above the $369 million worldwide for Jurassic Park III (released 7.18.2001 with $181 million domestic and $188 million overseas).
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 12-14, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
Jurassic World | Uni | PG13 | 70% | 117.0 | 295 |
Spy joins San Andreas as the main holdovers providing support at the box office this weekend.
RETURNING FILMS June 12-14, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
Spy | Fox | -40% | 17.6 | 104 | |
San Andreas | WB | -49% | 13.3 | 161 | |
Insidious Chapter 3 | Foc | -65% | 7.9 | 63 | |
Pitch Perfect 2 | Uni | -42% | 4.4 | 182 | |
Entourage | WB | -60% | 4.1 | 29 | |
Mad Max: Fury Road | WB | -50% | 3.9 | 157 | |
Tomorrowland | Dis | -49% | 3.7 | 93 | |
Avengers: Age of Ultron | Dis | -47% | 3.4 | 453 | |
Aloha | Sony | -56% | 1.4 | 19 |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $162 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 11th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $180 million (while 2013 was $197 million, 2012 was $123 million and 2011 was $147 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a solid $180 million, up 11% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and matching the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
6.13.2014
How to Train Your Dragon 2 Fox PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $72 Actual: $49
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $162 Actual: $177
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $442
22 Jump Street Sony R Jonah Hill Channing Tatum
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $53 Actual: $57
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $184 Actual: $192
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $140
6.14.2013
Man of Steel WB PG13 Henry Cavill Amy Adams
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $105 Actual: $117
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $305 Actual: $291
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $377
This Is the End Sony R James Franco Jonah Hill
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $22 Actual: $21
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $100 Actual: $101
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $25
Before Midnight Sony R Ethan Hawke Julie Delpy
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2 Actual: $1
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $13 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $3
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.