Weekend #26 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 24-26, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
| Independence Day: Resurgence | Fox | PG13 | 44% | 56.5 | 150 | 375 | 525 | |
| The Shallows | Sony | PG13 | n/a | 12.0 | 25 | 25 | 50 | |
| Free State of Jones | STX | R | 17% | 9.5 | 20 | 15 | 35 | |
| Neon Demon | BG | R | 50% | 2.5 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
|
TOP RETURNING FILMS June 24-26, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Finding Dory | Dis | -40% | 80.6 | 425 | ||
| Central Intelligence | WB | -57% | 15.2 | 110 | ||
| The Conjuring 2 | WB | -62% | 5.7 | 104 | ||
| Now You See Me 2 | LG | -61% | 3.6 | 61 | ||
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Finding Dory: $127.5 million predicted and $135.1 million actual
- Central Intelligence: $36.5 million predicted and $35.5 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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