Weekend #6 of 2016 is looking like $94 million for the top 12 films this weekend, below the norm for this time of year (see comparisons below).
Hail, Caesar! from Universal should open with $12.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $41 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $32 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $73 million.
Pride and Prejudice and Zombies from Sony should open with $11.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $30 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $15 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $45 million.
The Choice from Lionsgate should open with $7.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $16 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $9 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $25 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND February 5-7, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Hail, Caesar! | Uni | PG13 | 78% | 12.5 | 41 | |
| Pride and Prejudice and Zombies | Sony | PG13 | 48% | 11.0 | 30 | |
| The Choice | LG | PG13 | n/a | 7.5 | 16 | |
Returning film chart:
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RETURNING FILMS February 5-7, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Kung Fu Panda 3 | Fox | -40% | 25.0 | 141 | ||
| The Revenant | Fox | -39% | 7.7 | 178 | ||
| Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -52% | 6.8 | 925 | ||
| The Finest Hours | Dis | -49% | 5.2 | 33 | ||
| Ride Along 2 | Uni | -50% | 4.2 | 82 | ||
| Dirty Grandpa | LG | -45% | 4.2 | 36 | ||
| The 5th Wave | Sony | -49% | 3.6 | 31 | ||
| The Boy | STX | -52% | 3.6 | 33 | ||
| 13 Hours | Par | -49% | 3.2 | 58 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $134 million total, ranking 27th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $137 million (while 2014 was $138 million, 2013 was $86 million and 2012 was $173 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like $94 million, down -29% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -31% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
2.6.2015
SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water Par PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $31 Actual: $55
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $169 Actual: $163
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $160
Jupiter Ascending WB PG13 Channing Tatum Mila Kunis
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $19 Actual: $18
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $51 Actual: $47
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $137
Seventh Son Uni PG13 Jeff Bridges Julianne Moore
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $19 Actual: $17
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $97
2.7.2014
The LEGO Movie WB PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $48 Actual: $69
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $256 Actual: $258
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $210
The Monuments Men Sony PG13 George Clooney Matt Damon
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $19 Actual: $22
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $81 Actual: $78
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $77
Vampire Academy Weins PG13 Lucy Fry Sarah Hyland
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $6 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $8
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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