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October 6, 2024

Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 10.6.2024

 

OPENINGS:  Amazingly, the 58% first weekend plunge from $96.2M for 2019’s Joker to $40M for JOKER: FOLIE A DEUX (DC/Warners) understates how much audiences hated the new film.  For that, you have to look to the respective Friday-to-Saturday drops, after word of mouth had a chance to set in:  44% compared to 18%, which translates into an incredible 144% increase in the rate of fleeing ticketbuyers.  The first Joker earned 69% of its worldwide total overseas, and Joker 2 had a similar 67%/33% split, so international was less pathetic at $81.1M in 76 territories.  Still, when the higher costs for the sequel are factored in (around $300M including global marketing), this is the follow-up to a $1.08B blockbuster that may not even break even.  Filmmaker Todd Phillips ended Folie a Deux in a way that seemed to forestall the possibility of a Joker 3, so at least that worked out.

Back in the world of ordinary failures, WHITE BIRD (Lionsgate), a spin-off of the successful Wonder, brought in $1.5M at 1018 theaters, a $1500 weekend per-theater average.

Despite strong reviews for star Saoirse Ronan, THE OUTRUN (Sony Classics) debuted at the low end of wide release with only $300K at 502 theaters, a sad $700 average.

HOLDOVERS:  THE WILD ROBOT (DreamWorks Animation/Universal) lost 48% to $16.7M, and should extend well beyond $100M in the US.  It’s still in gradual release overseas, and has $36.5M after a $13M weekend in 36 markets.

BEETLEJUICE BEETLEJUICE (Warners) dipped 36% to $10.3M in its 5th weekend, with a chance of reaching $300M in the US.  It has less appeal internationally, with $137.1M after an $8.2M weekend in 77 territories.

TRANSFORMERS ONE (Hasbro/Paramount) dropped 42% to $5.4M in its 3rd weekend, and won’t get much past $65M in the US.  The overseas total is $49.8M after a $7.9M weekend in 61 markets.

SPEAK NO EVIL (Blumhouse/Universal, also on VOD) dipped 34% to $2.8M in its 4th weekend, and may get to $40M in the US.  It’s on a similar trajectory internationally, with $34.8M after a $3.1M weekend in 77 territories.

DEADPOOL AND WOLVERINE (Marvel/Disney) is approaching the end of its hugely successful road, down 45% to $1.5M in its 11th weekend, and possibly able to reach $640M in the US.  It also has $694.7M overseas.

Despite losing 60% of its theaters, THE SUBSTANCE (MUBI) proved to be remarkably resilient, down just 35% to $1.3M in its 3rd weekend, and if it can hold onto the theaters it has left, it could hit $15M in the US.  The international to date is $6.7M.

MEGALOPOLIS (American Zoetrope/Lionsgate) crashed by an awful 74% to $1.1M, and may face a challenge in even reaching $10M in the US.  It has $2M overseas.

LIMITED RELEASE:  SATURDAY NIGHT (Columbia/Sony) expanded to 21 theaters before going wide next weekend, and averaged an unpromising $13K.  SAM & COLBY: THE LEGENDS OF THE PARANORMAL (XPLR) averaged a robust $5800 at 302 for a $1.8M total.  A DIFFERENT MAN (A24) widened to 265 with a low $700 average.  I, THE EXECUTIONER (Blue Fox) averaged $2300 at 24.  LEAP OF FAITH (Picturehouse) averaged $4500 at 7.

NEXT WEEKEND:  The Halloween horror rush begins with TERRIFIER 3 (Cineverse), which will face off with the offbeat music documentary PIECE BY PIECE (Focus/Universal), the Trump bio THE APPRENTICE (Briarcliff),  and the wide release of Saturday Night.  Limited releases include WE LIVE IN TIME (A24).

 



About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on screened.com and the-burg.com. In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."