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November 5, 2023
 

Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 11.5.2023

 

OPENINGS:  This was supposed to be the kick-off weekend for the holiday movie season, but Dune 2 decamped for 2024 and the studios didn’t step in to replace it, so the biggest arrival of the week was the expansion of PRISCILLA (A24) from 4 theaters to 1359 with $5.1M.  That’s not a bad number these days for an indie going wide (Asteroid City, with bigger names attached, had $9.1M at 1675, but Past Lives was only at $1.7M at 906).  It remains to be seen, though, whether Sofia Coppola’s arthouse approach to the Elvis and Priscilla story will maintain wide appeal over time.

WHAT HAPPENS LATER (Bleecker Street) managed just $1.6M at 1492 theaters, and will hope to find a profit on its low production costs when it reaches home viewing.

THE MARSH KING’S DAUGHTER (STX/Roadside/Lionsgate) was DOA with $850K at 1055.

HOLDOVERS:  Coming off its Halloween-record launch, FIVE NIGHTS AT FREDDY’S (Blumhouse/Universal, also on Peacock) crashed by 76% to $19.4M.  That puts it in the 50 worst Weekend 2 drops in wide release history, but Freddy’s may still top $150M in the US, and it’s already hugely profitable.  It also has $103.5M overseas after a $35.6M weekend.

The expectation was that TAYLOR SWIFT: THE ERAS TOUR (Variance/AMC Theaters) would be massively frontloaded with fans and fade quickly at the boxoffice.  But in its 4th weekend, possibly refueled by the release of the star’s latest re-recorded album, the concert movie slipped just 12.5% to $13.5M, the best hold in the Top 10, and if it can hold onto its theaters, it has an outside shot of reaching $200M in the US.  It’s less of an event internationally, where it has $65.1M to date.

Rebounding from last weekend’s heavy drop, KILLERS OF THE FLOWER MOON (Paramount/Apple) dipped 25% to $7M, and will hope to reach $75M in the US.  It also has $66.8M overseas.  That still makes the epic an expensive piece of promotion for Apple, far from the film’s $250M+ in production/marketing costs.

THE EXORCIST: BELIEVER (Morgan Creek/Blumhouse/Universal, also on VOD) dropped 34% to $2.2M in its 5th weekend, and may reach $70M in the US.  The overseas total is $61.4M.

The Christian pseudo-documentary AFTER DEATH (Angel) fell 60% to $2M off last week’s opening, and might stretch to $15M in the US.  It hasn’t opened internationally.

PAW PATROL: THE MIGHTY MOVIE (Nickelodeon/Paramount, also on VOD) was down a slim 15% to $2M in its 6th weekend, heading to $70M in the US.  It’s even bigger overseas with $119.7M.

FREELANCE (Relativity) lost 40% to $1.2M in its 2nd weekend, and won’t hit $10M in the US.  The international total is $1.3M.

SAW X (Lionsgate, also on VOD) shed 37% to $1.1M in its 6th weekend, on its way to $55M in the US.  It also has $43.3M overseas.

LIMITED RELEASE:  RADICAL (Pantelion/Lionsgate) had a solid $2.7M start at 419 theaters, a $6500 weekend per-theater average.  ANATOMY OF A FALL (Neon) expanded to a near-wide 440 theaters and averaged a quieter $1400.  THE HOLDOVERS (Focus/Universal) widened to 64 with a $9400 average.  The expansion of THE PERSIAN VERSION (Sony Classics) to 480 was disastrous with an average below $400.  THE TUNNEL TO SUMMER, THE EXIT OF GOODBYES (Sental) averaged $450 at 167.  ALL DIRT ROADS TASTE OF SALT (A24) averaged $4200 at 3 despite rave reviews.  The documentary SUBJECT (Greenwich) had a $3800 average at 2.

NEXT WEEKEND:  The holiday season arrives, but with THE MARVELS (Marvel/Disney), which is preceded by what may be the worst buzz in MCU history.  Limited releases include DREAM SCENARIO (A24).



About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on screened.com and the-burg.com. In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."