The underperforming spectacle of the week is INDEPENDENCE DAY: RESURGENCE (20th), which found out that not all that many people cared to see a sequel to a two-decade old hit without its original star.  According to preliminary numbers at Deadline, opening day was $17.5M (including $4M from Thursday evening), 33% below the already not-great […]

> As we head into the weekend, a margin of less than $10 million separates Team Metcalf and Salem in the ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  That’s very good news for Salem because he has X-Men: First Class and Super 8 opening before Metcalf’s next movie on June 17.  It’s actually a very interesting race because […]

The Dark Knight Rises opened with $88 million overseas in a modest 17 territories.  We’ll give Rises a preliminary overseas target of $490 million, slightly higher than 2008’s The Dark Knight, which grossed $469 million overseas.  If our overseas target is correct, that put puts the worldwide target for Dark Knight Rises at $980 million, just behind The Dark Knight‘s […]

  OPENINGS:  HALLOWEEN ENDS (Universal, also on Peacock) underperformed badly with $41.3M, about 25% below pre-release expectations, and 17% under the $49.4M start for last year’s Halloween Kills, despite a stronger Thursday night start than Kills ($5.4M vs $4.9M).  The excuse de jour is the Peacock release, which would be dubious in any case considering […]

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.  Updated look at 2016 by studio.   YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2016 to date is now +3% above last year and now +6% above the average for this point the past four years ($3.372 billion).  Over the same period, Hollywood films have grossed $9.4 billion worldwide […]

  OPENINGS:  While not an outright flop like The Lone Ranger, Pacific Rim, RIPD, et. al (particularly since it cost less to produce than any of those), THE WOLVERINE (20th) is underperforming in a big way.  Its estimated $21M Thursday night/Friday is the lowest start for any X-Men branded movie since the original 13 years […]

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.     YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2015 to date is still +4% above last year and still +1% above the average for this point the past four years ($8.910 billion).  Over the same period, Hollywood films have grossed over $23.6 billion worldwide when we add overseas box office […]

  OPENINGS:  AS ABOVE/SO BELOW (Universal) and THE NOVEMBER MAN (Relativity) are both quietly making their way to oblivion with $8.3 and $7.7M weekends (each may add $1.5-2M on Monday).  November Man, with its older audience, may hold up a bit better over the longish term, but neither picture is likely to get above $25M in […]