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Weekend Box Office Predictions OCTOBER 11-13

Posted October 9, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The 41st weekend of the year is looking like a fairly soft $106 million for the top 12 films, down 13% from this weekend last year but down a more moderate 5% from the multi-year average for this weekend. Opening at over 3,000 theaters Friday (slightly above the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends […]

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Behind the Friday Box Office – 2/28/14

Posted March 1, 2014 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  NON-STOP (Universal) had the Friday lead with $10M, but that doesn’t mean it’ll take the weekend.  In any case, Universal’s investment will pay off handsomely–it covered only $12M of the budget for US rights (plus marketing costs in its territory, of course), and a likely weekend in the high $20Ms should mean US […]

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Weekend Box Office Predictions AUGUST 29-31

Posted August 27, 2014 by Mitch Metcalf

Weekend #35 of 2014 is looking like $95 million for the top 12 films this weekend, up 11% from the norm for this weekend and on track to be the fifth up weekend in a row after six straight down weekends. Opening at around 2,500 theaters Friday (below the 2,886 average theater count for opening […]

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Behind the US/Worldwide Weekend Box Office – 5/31/15

Posted May 31, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  OPENINGS:  SAN ANDREAS (Village Roadshow/RatPac Dune/New Line/Warners) had a solid 13% Saturday bump that propelled it to a $53.2M weekend, significantly above expectations–and with no direct competition arriving next weekend, it should hold fairly well (until Jurassic World arrives in 2 weeks).  The surprising part of the picture is that given that level of […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Spectre” and “Peanuts” Bring Hollywood Back

Posted November 7, 2015 by Mitch Salem

  After several painful weekends burdened by one high-profile flop after another, Hollywood was bailed out by two of its most venerable franchises. SPECTRE (MGM/Columbia/Sony) will be, based on preliminary numbers at Deadline, the 2d biggest opener of the Bond series.  Its $28.1M first day (which includes $5.25M from Thursday night) puts it behind only […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: “Kung Fu Panda 3″” Easily Tops “Finest Hours,” “50 Shades of Black”

Posted January 30, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  As will be noted endlessly by the studio and its mouthpieces all weekend, KUNG FU PANDA 3 (DreamWorks Animation/20th) is the first in the series to open in January, after June and May openings for the previous chapters.  Nevertheless, DWA and 20th didn’t choose that day with the idea of earning less, and the […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: All Lions & Tigers & Bears As “Jungle Book” Devours “Keanu,” “Mother’s Day”

Posted April 30, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  With summer blockbuster season just days away, none of the studios brought their A game this weekend.  KEANU (New Line/Warners) isn’t going to do for Keegan Michael-Key and Jordan Peele what Trainwreck did for Comedy Central colleague Amy Schumer:  Trainwreck earned $10.7M on its opening day, and based on preliminary numbers at Deadline, Keanu […]

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EARLY FRIDAY BOX OFFICE: Smooth Ride For “Girl On The Train,” Low Start For “Birth Of A Nation”

Posted October 8, 2016 by Mitch Salem

  From the start, THE GIRL ON THE TRAIN (DreamWorks/Reliance/Universal) was perceived as a lower-intensity version of the Gone Girl phenomenon, and that’s holding with the opening of its film version.  Where Gone Girl had a $13.2M Friday start on its way to a $37.5M weekend, preliminary numbers at Deadline give Train $9.3M on Friday, […]

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