FRIDAY JUNE 17 BOX OFFICE RESULTS

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>Green Lantern and Mr Popper’s Penguins both come in at forecast, while weekend is down 23% from last year.


Green Lantern opened with $21.4 million on Friday, and it looks like the Ryan Reynolds film will gross $56 million from Friday-Sunday.  The film is headed for $156 million in North America when it crosses the finish line, according to the ShowBuzzDaily Domestic Final estimate. See Mitch Salem’s review of Green Lantern.

Serving the family audience, Mr Popper’s Penguins opened with $6.4 million on Friday, on its way to about $18 million from Friday-Sunday.  The film is headed for $63 million total in North America. See Mitch Salem’s review of Mr Popper’s Penguins. 

Super 8 should drop 45% (a little better than average), and the film has been upgraded to $126 million.  X-Men: First Class is now headed for $155 million.  Hangover Part II has been bumped back up to $260 million, while Kung Fu Panda 2 is still headed for $173 million.  Bridesmaids has been upgraded yet again to $168 million. 

June 17-19, 2011        Pre-Wknd    Wknd            Showbuzz
(millions)              Showbuzz    Early   Friday  Domestic
                        Forecast    Proj.   Actual   Final*
Green Lantern (WB)       [$55  ]    $56.2   $21.4     $156
Super 8 (Par)            [$20  ]    $19.6   $ 5.9     $126+
Mr Popper’s Penguins Fox [$18  ]    $17.9   $ 6.4     $ 63
X-Men: First Class (Fox) [$12  ]    $11.2   $ 3.4     $155
Kung Fu Panda 2 (Par/DW) [$11  ]    $ 8.9   $ 2.5     $173
Hangover Part II (WB)    [$10  ]    $10.2   $ 3.2     $260
Bridesmaids (Uni)        [$ 7.5]    $ 7.6   $ 2.3     $168++
Pirates Caribbean 4 (Dis)[$ 6.5]    $ 6.4   $ 1.8     $240
Midnight in Paris (Sony) [$ 4.5]    $ 5.4   $ 1.4     $ 42+
Judy Moody Bummer (Rel)  [ n/a ]    $ 2.6   $ 0.8     $ 14

Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend.  The first column is reminder of each film’s ShowbuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets).  The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column).  The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America.  A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade. 

Limited Releases

The Art of Getting By (Fox Searchlight) opened at 610 theaters and will average a very poor $1,480 per theater this weekend (for a total $903,000).  In its fourth week, The Tree of Life (also Fox Searchlight) will average another strong $10,185 per theater at 114 theaters, bringing its total to $3.9 million.     

Total Box Office Volume

The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $148 million total, down 23% from the same calendar weekend last year.

Top 12 Films: Weekend #24

     Volume
     (millions)
2011  $148  (-1% vs 2007-10 average; -23% vs 2010) 

2007-10
Avg   $150 
            Movies Opening That Weekend
2010  $191  Toy Story 3 $110, Jonah Hex $5.5
2009  $145  The Proposal $34, Year One $20
2008  $138  Get Smart $39, The Love Guru $14
2007  $125  Evan Almighty $31, 1408 $21

Next Weekend

Opening next week are Cars 2 from Disney and Bad Teacher from Sony.  Those movies will be compared to Grown Ups ($40.5 million opening weekend) and Knight & Day ($20 million). 

Look for updates of the weekend box office on Sunday, based on the Saturday actual numbers.

And Happy Father’s Day to all the dads.