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January 2, 2013
 

Holiday Movie Season: A Solid Finish for 2012

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Written by: Mitch Metcalf
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New Year’s Day totaled $46.7 million for the top 10 films this holiday season, slightly below the $50.1 million average for this date but somewhat above the $44.2 million average for January 1 when it falls on a weekday.

January 1: Top 10 Films ($ millions)
Jan 1 on Weekdays Jan 1 on Weekends
Top10 #1 film Top10 #1 film
2012-13 Tue 46.7 The Hobbit 2011-12 Sun 42.6 Mission Impossible 4
2008-09 Thu 50.1 Marley & Me 2010-11 Sat 57.1 Little Fockers
2007-08 Tue 41.2 Natl Treasure Book 2009-10 Fri 77.5 Avatar
2006-07 Mon 41.0 Night at the Museum 2005-06 Sun 42.6 King Kong
2003-04 Thu 45.2 Return of the King 2004-05 Sat 48.7 Meet the Fockers
2002-03 Wed 40.7 Two Towers

With New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day now in the books, the holiday season December 16-January 1 now totals $600 million this year, -3% below the 2004-11 average and -7% behind 2007 (the last year with the same calendar layout as 2012).  But when we look at the heart of the holiday movie season (the Big Eight Days between Christmas Day and New Year’s Day), 2012’s $404 million is almost +5% ahead of the same period in both the multi-year average and 2007.  The warm-up to the holiday season (December 16-24) is what put a blemish on 2012:  the $196 million from December 16-24 this season was -16% behind the same period in the multi-year average and -24% behind the 2007 period.

Holiday Season — First 17 Days
Top 10 Films by Day — $ millions
2012 2007 2004-2011 average
Dec 16-24 196 258 233
Dec 25 68.1 57.4 56.6
Dec 26 51.9 50.4 59.3
Dec 27 45.8 45.6 48.5
Dec 28 52.0 53.5 44.2
Dec 29 57.1 56.4 43.9
Dec 30 46.2 48.0 45.4
Dec 31 35.8 33.9 37.9
Jan 1 46.7 41.2 50.1
Dec 25-Jan 1 404 386 386
Dec 16-Jan 1 600 644 619

Looking back at the Big Eight Days of the holiday season (December 25-January 1) over the last decade, 2012 actually compares pretty nicely — trailing only 2009, the truly extraordinary season of Avatar.  In contrast, 2012 ranks second to last in the December 16-24 warm-up period over the last decade.  (Only 2008’s $138 million was worse than 2012’s $196 million for December 16-24.)  So 2012 ends on a solid note after a rocky beginning to the holiday season — a fitting end to a very good year overall.

Holiday Movie Season’s Big Eight Days

Top 10 films

Dec 25-Jan 1 ($ millions)

Rnk Year Gross
1 2009 554
2 2012 404
3 2008 387
4 2007 386
5 2011 379
6 2010 368
7 2006 356
8 2003 348
9 2005 336
10 2004 320


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.