March 18, 2012


More articles by »
Written by: Mitch Metcalf
Tags: , , , , , ,

>21 Jump Street joins the worldwide box office chart about a third of the way down the list, ranked #14 out of 44 films released wide in North America over the past three months.  We expect its domestic gross to top out at $119 million, while the overseas total should expand from the current tally of $7 million to about $30 million.  (Comparable movies R-rated comedies with limited overseas potential: Paul Blart: Mall Cop $183 million worldwide, with $146 million domestic and $37 million overseas; Step Brothers $128 million worldwide, with $100 million domestic and $28 million overseas.)  If the $30 million overseas estimate holds, that would give 21 Jump Street a worldwide total right around $150 million against a reasonable cost to produce and market. 

John Carter has moved up to $126 million overseas to date.  If the international total ends up around $190 million, the worldwide figure should land around $270 million worldwide, just behind Journey 2: The Mysterious Island in terms of revenue but with vastly higher production and marketing costs.  

The Lorax has only grossed $14 million overseas (up about $7 million from last week).  We should see a substantial increase in overseas money in the next few weeks as it slowly opens around the world.


About the Author

Mitch Metcalf
MITCH METCALF has been tracking every US film release of over 500 screens (over 2300 movies and counting) since the storied weekend of May 20, 1994, when Maverick and Beverly Hills Cop 3 inspired countless aficionados to devote their lives to the art of cinema. Prior to that, he studied Politics and Economics at Princeton in order to prepare for his dream of working in television. He has been Head of West Coast Research at ABC, then moved to NBC in 2000 and became Head of Scheduling for 11 years.