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Oscar Odds: After the Nominations

Posted January 10, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

With the announcement of the Oscar nominations today, Lincoln only became more of a favorite by London oddsmakers (moving from a payout of about $1.80 on a $1 bet last week to about $1.40 today).   The odds got a bit longer for Les Miserables and Argo, but Zero Dark Thirty had the biggest swing (from a payout of about $5.50 last […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS January 11-13

Posted January 9, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The second weekend of 2013 should total about $122 million for the top 12 films, a little better than the same weekend the last few years but below the comparable weekend in 2009 and 2010.  Zero Dark Thirty moves from the art houses to a fairly wide release and should play more commercially than The […]

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INTERNATIONAL BOX OFFICE through January 6

Posted January 6, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Updated international box office chart below.  The Hobbit (+$97 million overseas since last week) and Life of Pi (+$82 million) are the big movers this week. New entrants to the chart include The Impossible at #31, Texas Chainsaw at #41, and Promised Land at #65.  With significant (and growing overseas business) the Spanish-produced Impossible is the one film in this week’s crop that can move up […]

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WEEKEND STUDIO ESTIMATES January 4-6

Posted January 6, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, Weekend #1 of 2013 is now on pace for $126 million, a touch stronger than it looked yesterday and still very much line with the comparable weekend in previous years.  Both Texas Chainsaw 3D and Django Unchained are also looking a little stronger than they seemed yesterday, but the […]

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FRIDAY JANUARY 4 BOX OFFICE REPORT

Posted January 5, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

Based on Friday’s grosses, Weekend #1 of 2013 is on pace for $124 million, very much line with the comparable weekend in previous years.  Texas Chainsaw 3D is opening somewhat better than forecast ($22.5 million versus our forecast of $17.8 million), while Django Unchained continues to perform solidly. In limited release, The Impossible is stronger than forecast […]

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2013: THE MOVIE YEAR TO COME (October-December)

Posted January 4, 2013 by Mitch Salem

  Today we conclude our early look at 2013’s coming attractions.  (The line-up for January-March is here; April-June is here, and July-September is here.)  Once we start heading this far down the calender, however, postponements and reschedulings will be increasingly common, and there are any number of major titles that haven’t yet even been assigned […]

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OSCAR ODDS: An Early Look

Posted January 4, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

  As the movie awards season starts to get going, here’s an early look at how the betting odds are shaping up on the Internet.  Lincoln is the clear favorite for Best Picture, with bookmakers offering a little under $2 on a $1 wager.  Steven Spielberg is also the favorite for his direction of Lincoln, but […]

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WEEKEND BOX OFFICE PREDICTIONS January 4-6

Posted January 2, 2013 by Mitch Metcalf

The first weekend of 2013 should total about $117 million for the top 12 films, somewhat below average for a normally sluggish weekend as life and movie-going returns to normal.  Texas Chainsaw 3D has the most promise of the films going wide this weekend and will duel with Django Unchained for second place (and possibly […]

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