September 16, 2011

THE SKED: SATURDAY Ratings This Fall

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Written by: Mitch Salem
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If you liked the ratings projections post for Fridays, you’ll love this post for SATURDAYS.   Six hours of repeats on the broadcast networks, a withering reality franchise in Cops, and one original scripted show.  ABC has the only game in town, the primetime college football game of the week.  Click “read more” to see the latest RATINGS PROJECTIONS for Saturday nights.

ABC is the only network that will get over a 2 Adult 18-49 rating on Saturday, thanks to NCAA football, the next best thing to the NFL.  A mix of regional games and some high-profile national games will put lowly Saturday night in the win column for ABC throughout the Fall.  On FOX, we have lowered their ratings projections based on the tepid premiere of Cops last Friday.  No significant changes for CBS or NBC projections since May.

An important note:  the ratings estimates are for original episodes across the entire Fall (from mid-September through mid-December).  Generally, a series will premiere at a high level and then settle into a more normal number by week four-six.  The important number to look at as the season unfolds is the average-to-date column at the far right.  By the time episode four rolls around, look at the average of episodes one-four and you should have a pretty good idea how the fall — and the entire season — will sort out.   

SATURDAY FALL 2011  Estimates         Episode Rating     
                    May   Sep   #1   #2   #3   #4   #5   #6   Avg
 800 NCAA Football  1.7   1.7   9/17

 900 NCCA Football  2.1   2.1   
1000 NCAA Football  2.3   2.3    
 800 Rules of Engag 1.2   1.2   10/8
 830 Comedy Repeat  0.9   0.9
 900 Crime Repeat   1.2   1.2  

1000 48 Hours Myst  1.4   1.4   9/24
 800 Drama Repeat   0.6   0.6   9/24
 900 Drama Repeat   0.7   0.7  
1000 Drama Repeat   1.1   1.1  
 800 Cops           1.8   1.2   1.0   
 830 Cops Repeat    1.9   1.2   1.0
 900 Repeats        1.7   0.9   0.8

Click below to read the UPDATED RATINGS PROJECTIONS for the other nights of the week:

                      MON      TUE      WED      THU      FRI      SAT      SUN     

Click below to read the ORIGINAL RATINGS PROJECTIONS for the other nights of the week (from May):  

                      MON      TUE      WED      THU      FRI      SAT      SUN      FULL WEEK

Click below to find out what to watch this fall:

                      MON      TUE      WED      THU       FRI      WEEKEND

About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on and In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."