>As expected yesterday, the actuals for Sunday, January 1, are coming in much lower than the studios estimated. The top 10 films look like they grossed closer to $43 million Sunday, much lower than the $53 million estimated yesterday. The $43 million number is much closer to the historical pattern of a January 1 on a Sunday (last seen in the 2005 holiday season). The forecast for today’s box office is much more in line with historical patterns.
DAILY TOTAL GROSS of TOP 10 MOVIES
2011 2010 2006 2005
Dec 21 $27.5 Wed $22.0 Tue $17.8 Thu $20.5 Wed
Dec 22 $24.8 Thu $31.1 Wed $39.6 Fri $22.8 Thu
Dec 23 $37.1 Fri $33.5 Thu $43.3 Sat $36.4 Fri
Dec 24 $22.1 Sat $23.6 Fri $20.1 Sun $20.2 Sat
Dec 25 $54.5 Sun $52.5 Sat $49.4 Mon $41.4 Sun
Dec 26 $61.8 Mon $48.8 Sun $49.5 Tue $55.2 Mon
Dec 27 $45.6 Tue $41.6 Mon $41.9 Wed $40.1 Tue
Dec 28 $41.5 Wed $41.6 Tue $39.9 Thu $37.8 Wed
Dec 29 $41.0 Thu $41.7 Wed $48.5 Fri $38.1 Thu
Dec 30 $49.6 Fri $43.1 Thu $51.5 Sat $45.1 Fri
Dec 31 $42.3 Sat $41.7 Fri $34.1 Sun $35.8 Sat
Jan 01 $42.8 Sun $57.1 Sat $41.0 Mon $42.6 Sun
Jan 02 $38.2*Mon $38.6 Sun $20.4 Tue $36.5 Mon
NOTE: Top films: 2010 (Little Fockers, True Grit, TRON Legacy), 2006 (Night at the Museum, Pursuit of Happyness, Dreamgirls), 2005 (King Kong, Chronicles of Narnia, Fun with Dick and Jane)
The three-day Friday-Sunday totals were over-estimated on Sunday for each movie by each studio, usually by about $1 million per film and in some cases $1.5 million or more. Updated weekend figures and ShowBuzz Daily Domestic Final estimates are summarized below.
Updated international box office figures should be posted shortly.