Weekend #3 of 2016 is looking like a pretty normal $143 million for the top 12 films this weekend (see comparisons below).
Ride Along 2 from Universal should open with $35.0 million Friday-Sunday and about $43 million Friday-Monday. The film is on track for around $105 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $25 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $130 million.
This would be below the $154.5 million worldwide for Ride Along (released 1.17.2014) with $134.9 million domestic and $19.5 million overseas.
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi from Paramount should open with $10.5 million Friday-Sunday and about $13.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $26 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $5 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $31 million.
Norm of the North from Lionsgate should open with $8.0 million Friday-Sunday and about $10 million Friday-Monday. The film is on track for around $19 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $15 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $34 million.
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND January 15-17, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Ride Along 2 | Uni | PG13 | 7% | 35.0 | 105 | |
| 13 Hours | Par | R | n/a | 10.5 | 26 | |
| Norm of the North | LG | PG | n/a | 8.0 | 19 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS January 15-17, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| The Revenant | Fox | -31% | 27.6 | 123 | ||
| Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -36% | 27.3 | 975 | ||
| Daddy’s Home | Par | -36% | 9.6 | 159 | ||
| The Big Short | Par | -13% | 5.3 | 65 | ||
| The Forest | Focus | -60% | 5.1 | 26 | ||
| Sisters | Uni | -35% | 4.7 | 96 | ||
| Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip | Fox | -36% | 3.7 | 92 | ||
| The Hateful Eight | Weins | -44% | 3.6 | 63 | ||
| Joy | Fox | -44% | 2.5 | 58 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $142 million total, ranking 22nd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $185 million (while 2014 was $154 million, 2013 was $117 million and 2012 was $110 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a pretty standard $143 million, up +1% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but down -23% from the same weekend last year, which was boosted by American Sniper.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
1.16.2015
American Sniper WB R Bradley Cooper Sienna Miller
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $28 Actual: $89
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $379 Actual: $350
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $197
Paddington Weins PG Hugh Bonneville Sally Hawkins
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $19
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $75 Actual: $76
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $183
Wedding Ringer Sony R Kevin Hart Josh Gad
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $24 Actual: $21
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $69 Actual: $64
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $15
Blackhat Uni R Chris Hemsworth Viola Davis
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $9 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $12
1.17.2014
Ride Along Uni PG13 Kevin Hart Ice Cube
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $27 Actual: $41
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $123 Actual: $134
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $19
Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit Par PG13 Chris Pine Keira Knightly
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $18 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $53 Actual: $51
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $85
The Nut Job Open Road PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $21
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $66 Actual: $64
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $49
Devil’s Due Fox R Zach Gilford Allison Miller
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $7 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $14 Actual: $16
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $21
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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