Weekend #2 of 2016 is looking like a very good $155 million for the top 12 films this weekend (see comparisons below).
The Revenant from Fox should open with $27.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $85 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $160 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $245 million.
The Forest from Focus should open with $9.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $16 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $19 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $35 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND January 8-10, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Revenant | Fox | R | 79% | 27.5 | 85 | |
| The Forest | Foc | PG13 | n/a | 9.0 | 16 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS January 8-10, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -42% | 52.0 | 1,020 | ||
| Daddy’s Home | Par | -41% | 17.1 | 180 | ||
| The Hateful Eight | Weins | -41% | 9.3 | 70 | ||
| Sisters | Uni | -28% | 9.1 | 95 | ||
| The Big Short | Par | -7% | 8.5 | 75 | ||
| Alvin and the Chipmunks: Road Chip | Fox | -49% | 6.2 | 95 | ||
| Joy | Fox | -44% | 5.7 | 81 | ||
| Concussion | Sony | -41% | 4.7 | 60 | ||
| Point Break | WB | -46% | 3.7 | 49 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $117 million total, ranking 33rd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $110 million (while 2014 was $122 million, 2013 was $121 million and 2012 was $115 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a very good $155 million, up +32% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +41% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
1.9.2015
Taken 3 Fox PG13 Liam Neeson Maggie Grace
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $31 Actual: $39
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $106 Actual: $89
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $237
Selma Par PG13 David Oyelowo Tom Wilkinson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $19 Actual: $11
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $47 Actual: $52
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $15
Inherent Vice WB R Joaquin Phoenix Josh Brolin
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $2.5 Actual: $3
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $16 Actual: $8
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $7
1.10.2014
Lone Survivor Uni R Mark Wahlberg Taylor Kitsch
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $23 Actual: $38
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $131 Actual: $125
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $24
August: Osage County Weins R Meryl Streep Julia Roberts
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $3 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $40 Actual: $38
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $36
Legend of Hercules LG/Sum PG13 Kellan Lutz
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $6 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $16 Actual: $19
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $42
Her WB R Joaquin Phoenix Scarlett Johansson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $5
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $31 Actual: $25
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $22
Inside Llewyn Davis CBS R Oscar Isaac Carey Mulligan
Opening Weekend — Forecast: n/a Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $19 Actual: $13
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $20
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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