Weekend #40 of 2015 is looking like $143 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norm for this weekend but close to last year’s strong weekend (see comparisons below).
The Martian from Fox should open with a $55.0 million weekend. Strong critical support: 93% positive reviews so far. The film is on track for around $166 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $340 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $506 million.
Sicario from Lionsgate should open with a $13.0 million weekend. Similarly strong critical support: 92% positive in early reviews. The film is on track for around $51 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $65 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $116 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND October 2-4, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Martian | Fox | PG13 | 93% | 55.0 | 166 | |
| Sicario | LG | R | 92% | 13.0 | 51 | |
Returning film chart:
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RETURNING FILMS October 2-4, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Hotel Transylvania 2 | Sony | -41% | 28.5 | 164 | ||
| The Intern | WB | -35% | 11.4 | 64 | ||
| Maze Runner: Scorch Trials | Fox | -49% | 7.3 | 85 | ||
| Everest | Uni | -45% | 7.2 | 64 | ||
| Black Mass | WB | -44% | 6.1 | 71 | ||
| The Visit | Uni | -49% | 3.4 | 67 | ||
| War Room | Sony | -33% | 2.9 | 67 | ||
| The Perfect Guy | Sony | -45% | 2.6 | 55 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $118 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 32nd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $140 million (while 2013 was $115 million, 2012 was $133 million and 2011 was $85 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a sturdy $143 million, up +21% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but up only +3% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
10.3.2014
Gone Girl Fox R Ben Affleck Rosamund Pike
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $32 Actual: $38
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $151 Actual: $168
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $200
Annabelle WB R Alfre Woodard
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $27 Actual: $37
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $94 Actual: $84
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $173
Left Behind FREE PG13 Nicolas Cage Lea Thompson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $5 Actual: $6
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $11 Actual: $14
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $6
10.4.2013
Gravity WB PG13 Sandra Bullock George Clooney
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $39 Actual: $56
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $243 Actual: $274
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $442
Runner Runner Fox R Justin Timberlake Gemma Arterton
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $14 Actual: $8
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $18 Actual: $19
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $43
Pulling Strings LG/Sum PG Laura Ramsey
Opening Weekend — Forecast: n/a Actual: $2
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $9 Actual: $6
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $2
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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