Weekend #50 of 2015 is looking like a soft $72 million for the top 12 films this weekend, below what we usually see this weekend (see comparisons below).
In the Heart of the Sea from Warner Brothers should open with $12.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $55 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $105 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $160 million.
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND December 11-13, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| In the Heart of the Sea | WB | PG13 | 60% | 12.5 | 55 | |
Returning film chart:
|
RETURNING FILMS December 11-13, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 | LG | -41% | 11.2 | 290 | ||
| The Good Dinosaur | Dis | -33% | 10.3 | 125 | ||
| Creed | WB | -33% | 10.0 | 109 | ||
| Krampus | Uni | -50% | 8.1 | 45 | ||
| Spectre | Sony | -28% | 4.0 | 205 | ||
| The Night Before | Sony | -24% | 3.8 | 47 | ||
| Spotlight | ORF | +2% | 2.9 | 29 | ||
| Brooklyn | Fox | +10% | 2.7 | 22 | ||
| Peanuts Movie | Fox | -36% | 2.3 | 135 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $114 million total, ranking 36th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $76 million (while 2013 was $141 million, 2012 was $130 million and 2011 was $110 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a weak $72 million, down -37% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -6% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
12.12.2014
Exodus: Gods and Kings Fox PG13 Christian Bale Joel Edgerton
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $30 Actual: $24
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $53 Actual: $65
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $203
Top Five Par R Chris Rock Rosario Dawson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $26 Actual: $25
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
12.13.2013
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug WB PG13 Martin Freeman Ian McKellen
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $82 Actual: $74
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $203 Actual: $258
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $700
Tyler Perry’s A Madea Christmas LG/Sum PG13 Tyler Perry
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $31 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $43 Actual: $53
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
About the Author
