Weekend #7 of 2016 is looking like $153 million for the top 12 films this weekend (for the three-day Friday-Sunday portion), near the norm for this weekend but below last year’s torrid pace (see comparisons below).
Deadpool from Fox should open with $67.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $195 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $240 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $435 million.
Zoolander No. 2 from Paramount should open with $19.0 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $65 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $55 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $120 million.
How to Be Single from Warner Brothers should open with $14.5 million Friday-Sunday. The film is on track for around $35 million domestic in its run. Overseas the film could bring in $30 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $65 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND February 12-14, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Deadpool | Fox | R | 81% | 67.0 | 195 | |
| Zoolander no. 2 | Par | PG13 | 41% | 19.0 | 65 | |
| How to Be Single | WB | R | n/a | 14.5 | 35 | |
Returning film chart:
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RETURNING FILMS February 12-14, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Kung Fu Panda 3 | Fox | -9% | 19.3 | 128 | ||
| Hail, Caesar! | Uni | -46% | 6.2 | 40 | ||
| Star Wars: The Force Awakens | Dis | -16% | 5.9 | 925 | ||
| The Revenant | Fox | -20% | 5.6 | 175 | ||
| The Choice | LG | -42% | 3.5 | 14 | ||
| Ride Along 2 | Uni | -26% | 3.4 | 82 | ||
| The Finest Hours | Dis | -41% | 2.8 | 30 | ||
| Pride and Prejudice and Zombies | Sony | -48% | 2.8 | 12 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $158 million total, ranking 12th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $201 million (while 2014 was $160 million, 2013 was $126 million and 2012 was $143 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like $153 million, down -3% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -24% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
2.13.2015
Fifty Shades of Grey Uni R Dakota Johnson Jamie Dornan
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $68 Actual: $85
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $166 Actual: $166
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $404
Kingsman: The Secret Service Fox R Colin Firth Samuel L. Jackson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $27 Actual: $36
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $116 Actual: $128
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $286
2.14.2014
RoboCop Sony PG13 Joel Kinnaman Gary Oldman
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $29 Actual: $22
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $68 Actual: $58
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $184
About Last Night Sony R Kevin Hart Michael Ealy
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $25 Actual: $26
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $55 Actual: $49
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
Endless Love Uni PG13 Alex Pettyfer Gabriella Wilde
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $13
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $23 Actual: $23
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $11
Winter’s Tale WB PG13 Colin Farrell Russell Crowe
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $14 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $11 Actual: $12
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $18
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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