Weekend #24 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND June 10-12, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
| The Conjuring 2 | WB | R | 64% | 35.0 | 95 | 190 | 285 | |
| Now You See Me 2 | LG | PG13 | 39% | 26.5 | 80 | 200 | 280 | |
| Warcraft | Uni | PG13 | 23% | 23.0 | 60 | 250 | 310 | |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
Note:
The Conjuring opened July 19-21, 2013 with $41.9 million on its way to $137.4 million domestic, $180.6 million overseas for $318.0 million worldwide
Now You See Me opened May 31-June 2, 2013 with $29.4 million on its way to $117.7 million domestic and $234.0 million overseas for $351.7 million worldwide.
|
TOP RETURNING FILMS June 10-12, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows | Par | -57% | 15.1 | 100 | ||
| Me Before You | WB | -41% | 11.0 | 60 | ||
| X-Men: Apocalypse | Fox | -57% | 9.8 | 169 | ||
| Alice Through the Looking Glass | Dis | -54% | 5.3 | 75 | ||
| Angry Birds Movie | Sony | -48% | 5.3 | 119 | ||
| Captain America: Civil War | Dis | -55% | 3.6 | 418 | ||
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Out of the Shadows: $37.5 million predicted and $35.3 million actual
- Me Before You: $15.5 million predicted and $18.7 million actual
- Popstar: $6.0 million predicted and $4.7 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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