Weekend #37 of 2015 is looking like $65 million for the top 12 films this weekend, below the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
The Visit from Universal should open with a $16.5 million opening weekend. Mediocre reviews so far: 53% positive at RottenTomatoes. The Visit is on track for around $44 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $50 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $94 million.
The Perfect Guy from Sony should open with a $14.5 million opening weekend. No reviews yet from critics. The Perfect Guy is on track for around $35 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $8 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $43 million.
90 Minutes in Heaven from Samuel Goldwyn should open with a $3.0 million opening weekend. No reviews yet from critics. 90 Minutes in Heaven is on track for around $6 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $1 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $7 million.
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NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 11-13, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| The Visit | Uni | PG13 | 53% | 16.5 | 44 | |
| The Perfect Guy | Sony | PG13 | n/a | 14.5 | 35 | |
| 90 Minutes in Heaven | Goldwyn | PG13 | n/a | 3.0 | 6 | |
Not much support at the box office from the holdovers, with $5 or 6 million enough to top the list of returning films this weekend.
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RETURNING FILMS September 11-13, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| War Room | Sony | -38% | 5.8 | 48 | |
| A Walk In the Woods | BG | -38% | 5.1 | 28 | |
| Straight Outta Compton | Uni | -47% | 4.6 | 171 | |
| Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation | Par | -41% | 4.3 | 203 | |
| Transporter Refueled | Euro | -59% | 3.0 | 17 | |
| No Escape | Weins | -48% | 2.9 | 31 | |
| Un Gallo con Muchos Huevos | -34% | 2.3 | 16 | ||
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $81 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 49th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $78 million (while 2013 was $89 million, 2012 was $69 million and 2011 was $86 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a weak $65 million, down -19% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and down -16% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
9.12.2014
No Good Deed Sony PG13 Idris Elba Tariji P Henson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $14 Actual: $24
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $56 Actual: $53
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $2
Dolphin Tale 2 WB PG Ashley Judd Harry Connick Jr
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $21 Actual: $16
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $50 Actual: $42
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $10
The Drop Fox R Tom Hardy James Gandolfini
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $1 Actual: $4
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $17 Actual: $11
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $8
9.13.2013
Insidious Chapter 2 FilmDis PG13 Rose Byrne Patrick Wilson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $25 Actual: $40
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $84 Actual: $84
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $78
The Family Rel R Robert DeNiro Michelle Pfeiffer
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $11 Actual: $14
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $40 Actual: $37
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $31
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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