Weekend #39 of 2015 is looking like $137 million for the top 12 films this weekend, well above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below).
Hotel Transylvania 2 from Sony should open with a $37.5 million weekend. Reviews are non-existent: nothing yet at RottenTomatoes. The film is on track for around $123 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $250 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $373 million.
This would be up a bit from the $358 million worldwide for Hotel Transylvania (released 9.28.2012) and totaled $148 million domestic and $210 million overseas.
The Intern from Warner Brothers should open with an $18.0 million weekend. Middling critical response: 58% positive in early reviews. The film is on track for around $65 million domestic. Overseas the film could bring in $70 million, giving it a worldwide box office target of $135 million.
Also, Sicario expands from a limited 6 theater run last weekend, and The Green Inferno will open this weekend, before exiting in a mere week or two.
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 25-27, 2015 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Hotel Transylvania 2 | Sony | PG | n/a | 37.5 | 123 | |
| The Intern | WB | PG13 | 58% | 18.0 | 65 | |
| Sicario | LG | R | 90% | 11.0 | 42 | |
| The Green Inferno | High | R | 59% | 2.8 | 6 | |
Everest expands from 500 large-format theaters last week to a full national release this week, something in between a returning film and a true opener. Depending on how you define it, the film will either be the #2 opener this weekend or the top holdover.
|
RETURNING FILMS September 25-27, 2015 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast Fri-Sun | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Everest | Uni | +204% | 21.9 | 120 | |
| Maze Runner: Scorch Trials | Fox | -54% | 14.0 | 85 | |
| Black Mass | WB | -41% | 13.4 | 75 | |
| The Visit | Uni | -51% | 5.7 | 67 | |
| The Perfect Guy | Sony | -50% | 4.9 | 59 | |
| War Room | Sony | -24% | 4.7 | 62 | |
| A Walk In the Woods | BG | -36% | 1.8 | 31 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films this weekend have averaged $98 million total (Friday-Sunday), ranking 43rd of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $98 million (while 2013 was $96 million, 2012 was $107 million and 2011 was $90 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like a strong $137 million, up +41% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend and up +40% from the same weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years ($ millions)
9.26.2014
The Equalizer Sony R Denzel Washington Chloe Moretz
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $34 Actual: $34
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $112 Actual: $102
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $91
The Boxtrolls FOC PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $17 Actual: $17
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $63 Actual: $51
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $57
9.27.2013
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 Sony PG
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $41 Actual: $34
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $110 Actual: $120
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $155
Rush Uni R Chris Hemsworth Olivia Wilde
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $13 Actual: $10
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $33 Actual: $27
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $63
Don Jon Rel R Joseph Gordon-Levitt Scarlett Johansson
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $10 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $30 Actual: $24
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $6
Baggage Claim Fox PG13 Paula Patton Derek Luke
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $9 Actual: $9
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $20 Actual: $21
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $1
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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