Weekend #40 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND September 30-October 2, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
| Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children | Fox | PG13 | 63% | 28.5 | 80 | 140 | 220 | |
| Deepwater Horizon | LG | PG13 | 84% | 19.5 | 62 | 58 | 120 | |
| Masterminds | Rel | PG13 | n/a | 6.5 | 15 | 3 | 18 | |
| Queen of Katwe | Dis | PG | 91% | 4.0 | 12 | 7 | 19 | |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
|
TOP RETURNING FILMS September 30-October 2, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| The Magnificent Seven | Sony | -52% | 16.8 | 105 | ||
| Storks | WB | -43% | 12.2 | 77 | ||
| Sully | WB | -32% | 9.2 | 135 | ||
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- The Magnificent Seven: $47.5 million predicted and $34.7 million actual
- Storks: $33.5 million predicted and $21.3 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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