Weekend #28 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND July 8-10, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
Secret Life of Pets | Uni | PG | 80% | 80.5 | 255 | 345 | 600 | |
Mike and Dave Need Wedding Dates | Fox | R | 65% | 12.0 | 40 | 55 | 95 |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
TOP RETURNING FILMS July 8-10, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
Finding Dory | Dis | -41% | 24.7 | 505 | ||
Legend of Tarzan | WB | -53% | 18.1 | 105 | ||
The BFG | Dis | -42% | 11.0 | 57 | ||
The Purge: Election Year | Uni | -68% | 10.2 | 82 | ||
Central Intelligence | WB | -43% | 7.1 | 125 | ||
Independence Day: Resurgence | Fox | -63% | 6.2 | 104 | ||
The Shallows | Sony | -45% | 4.8 | 54 |
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Legend of Tarzan: $18.5 million predicted and $38.5 million actual
- Purge: Election Year: $23.0 million predicted and $31.5 million actual
- The BFG: $20.5 million and $18.8 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.