Weekend #41 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films:
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND October 7-9, 2016 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | Overseas Total Projection | Worldwide Total Projection | |||||
| The Girl on the Train | Uni | R | 54% | 29.0 | 85 | 110 | 195 | |
| The Birth of a Nation | Fox | R | 83% | 9.0 | 35 | 20 | 55 | |
| Middle School: Worst Years of My Life | LG | PG | n/a | 6.5 | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
Note: Although critic reviews are not related to the size of the opening weekend, they are significantly correlated with the size of the declines in the opening weeks of a movie. The Domestic Total is a very early ShowBuzzDaily projection of the total North American gross, based on the Weekend Forecasts. The Overseas Total is also a ShowBuzzDaily projection based on similar movies and their performance outside North America.
|
TOP RETURNING FILMS October 7-9, 2016 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | ||||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | |||||
| Miss Peregrine’s Home | Fox | -48% | 15.1 | 81 | ||
| Deepwater Horizon | LG | -43% | 11.5 | 66 | ||
| Storks | WB | -38% | 8.3 | 75 | ||
| The Magnificent Seven | Sony | -56% | 6.8 | 99 | ||
| Sully | WB | -38% | 5.2 | 131 | ||
| Masterminds | Rel | -57% | 2.8 | 17 | ||
A look at last week’s opening weekend forecast accuracy:
- Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children: $28.5 million predicted and $28.9 million actual
- Deepwater Horizon: $19.5 million predicted and $20.2 million actual
- Masterminds: $6.5 million predicted and $6.5 million actual
- Queen of Katwe: $4.0 million predicted and $2.5 million actual
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
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