OSCARS MINUS 1: Final Predictions and Hopes

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We’re less than 24 hours away from that exciting moment when the first negative tweet about Seth McFarlane’s performance as this year’s Oscar host appears, so it’s time to go all-in and make some final choices.  Here, then, with no more knowledge or record of success than anyone else, are our Academy Award predictions and likely pipe dreams:

BEST PICTURE

Will Win:  ARGO

Should Win:  ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST ACTOR

Will Win and Should Win:  Daniel Day-Lewis, LINCOLN

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win and Should Win:  Jennifer Lawrence, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win:  Robert DeNiro, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Should Win:  Philip Seymour Hoffman, THE MASTER

BEST SUPPORING ACTRESS

Will Win:  Anne Hathaway, LES MISERABLES

Should Win:  Amy Adams, THE MASTER

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win and Should Win:  Steven Spielberg, LINCOLN

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win:  Quentin Tarantino, DJANGO UNCHAINED

Should Win:  Mark Boal, ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win:  Chris Terrio, ARGO

Should Win:  Tony Kushner, LINCOLN

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

Will Win and Should Win:  AMOUR

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Will Win:  HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE

Should Win:  SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN 

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Will Win:  WRECK-IT RALPH

Should Win:  BRAVE

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win:  ANNA KARENINA

Should Win:  SKYFALL

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win and Should Win:  ARGO

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Will Win and Should Win:  LIFE OF PI

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Will Win and Should Win:  SKYFALL

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will Win and Should Win:  ANNA KARENINA

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will Win:  ANNA KARENINA

Should Win:  SNOW WHITE & THE HUNTSMAN

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win and Should Win:  LIFE OF PI

BEST SOUND EDITING

Will Win:  LIFE OF PI

Should Win:  ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST SOUND MIXING

Will Win and Should Win:  LES MISERABLES

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Will Win and Should Win:  LES MISERABLES

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Will Win and Should Win:  PAPERMAN

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Will Win:  BUZKASHI BOYS

Should Win:  CURFEW

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Will Win:  MONDAYS AT RACINE

Should Win:  INOCENTE