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February 23, 2013
 

OSCARS MINUS 1: Final Predictions and Hopes

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Written by: Mitch Salem
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We’re less than 24 hours away from that exciting moment when the first negative tweet about Seth McFarlane’s performance as this year’s Oscar host appears, so it’s time to go all-in and make some final choices.  Here, then, with no more knowledge or record of success than anyone else, are our Academy Award predictions and likely pipe dreams:

BEST PICTURE

Will Win:  ARGO

Should Win:  ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST ACTOR

Will Win and Should Win:  Daniel Day-Lewis, LINCOLN

BEST ACTRESS

Will Win and Should Win:  Jennifer Lawrence, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will Win:  Robert DeNiro, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK

Should Win:  Philip Seymour Hoffman, THE MASTER

BEST SUPPORING ACTRESS

Will Win:  Anne Hathaway, LES MISERABLES

Should Win:  Amy Adams, THE MASTER

BEST DIRECTOR

Will Win and Should Win:  Steven Spielberg, LINCOLN

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will Win:  Quentin Tarantino, DJANGO UNCHAINED

Should Win:  Mark Boal, ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will Win:  Chris Terrio, ARGO

Should Win:  Tony Kushner, LINCOLN

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

Will Win and Should Win:  AMOUR

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Will Win:  HOW TO SURVIVE A PLAGUE

Should Win:  SEARCHING FOR SUGAR MAN 

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Will Win:  WRECK-IT RALPH

Should Win:  BRAVE

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will Win:  ANNA KARENINA

Should Win:  SKYFALL

BEST FILM EDITING

Will Win and Should Win:  ARGO

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Will Win and Should Win:  LIFE OF PI

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Will Win and Should Win:  SKYFALL

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Will Win and Should Win:  ANNA KARENINA

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Will Win:  ANNA KARENINA

Should Win:  SNOW WHITE & THE HUNTSMAN

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Will Win and Should Win:  LIFE OF PI

BEST SOUND EDITING

Will Win:  LIFE OF PI

Should Win:  ZERO DARK THIRTY

BEST SOUND MIXING

Will Win and Should Win:  LES MISERABLES

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Will Win and Should Win:  LES MISERABLES

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

Will Win and Should Win:  PAPERMAN

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Will Win:  BUZKASHI BOYS

Should Win:  CURFEW

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Will Win:  MONDAYS AT RACINE

Should Win:  INOCENTE



About the Author

Mitch Salem
MITCH SALEM has worked on the business side of the entertainment industry for 20 years, as a senior business affairs executive and attorney for such companies as NBC, ABC, USA, Syfy, Bravo, and BermanBraun Productions, and before that, at the NY law firm of Weil, Gotshal & Manges. During all that, he has more or less constantly been going to the movies and watching TV, and writing about both since the 1980s. His film reviews also currently appear on screened.com and the-burg.com. In addition, he is co-writer of an episode of the television series "Felicity."