>The weekend studio estimates (based on Friday and Saturday actuals and projections for Sunday) are coming in somewhat stronger than the weekend numbers posted yesterday (based on Friday actuals only). The box office volume for the top 12 films is now looking like $99 million for the weekend, up a modest 7% from last year’s disaster weekend but downa touch (-3%) from the weekend’s average for the past four years. The Grey had a good Saturday and now is on track to hit $20 million in its opening weekend. (Updated weekend numbers in the chart after the jump.)
Among the second week films, Underworld Awakening ($71 million, adjusted up), Red Tails ($57 million, adjusted up slightly), Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close ($39 million, upward adjustment) and Haywire ($27 million, steady).
The third week movies include Beauty and the Beast 3D ($54 million, adjusted down slightly) and Contraband ($72 million, down a touch), Joyful Noise ($32 million, down slightly) and The Iron Lady ($26 million, up slightly).
January 27-29 Wknd vs Showbuzz
(millions) Studio Last Domestic
Proj. Wknd Final*
The Grey (Open Road) $20.0 $ 64
Underworld Awakening (Sony) $12.5 -51% $ 71
One for the Money (LG) $11.7 $ 26
Red Tails (Fox) $10.4 -45% $ 57
Man on a Ledge (Sum) $ 8.2 $ 20
Extremely Loud & Inc Close (WB) $ 7.1 -29% $ 39
The Descendants (Fox) $ 6.6 +176% $ 70
Contraband (Uni) $ 6.5 -46% $ 72
Beauty and the Beast 3D (Dis) $ 5.3 -39% $ 54
Haywire (Rel) $ 4.0 -53% $ 27
The Artist (Wein) $ 3.3 +40% $ 40
Joyful Noise (WB) $ 3.2 -45% $ 32
The Iron Lady (Weins) $ 3.2 -13% $ 26
Note: The table above summarizes the weekend as of Sunday. The first column (on which the table is sorted) displays the “studio projection” for each film, based on the Friday and Saturday actual numbers (and a studio-supplied estimate of Sunday). The second column is the percent decline from the prior weekend. The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total Gross for the film’s complete run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $99 million total Friday-Sunday, up 7% from the same calendar weekend last year but down a small 3% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #4
2012 $ 99 The Grey $20, One for the Money $12, Man Ledge $8
2011 $ 92 The Rite $15, Sanctum $9
2010 $110 Edge of Darkness $17, When in Rome $12
2009 $103 Taken $25, The Uninvented $10, New in Town $7
2008 $102 Hannah Montana $31, The Eye $12
2008-11
Avg $102
Next Weekend
Look for final weekend figures Monday and international results later today
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