The 49th weekend of the year is looking like $97 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down from last year but up from the usual performance for this weekend over the past several years.
Opening at around 2,000 theaters Friday (well below the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), Out of the Furnace from Relativity should average a very weak $3,300 per theater for the weekend (for a $6.5 million opening weekend). [The average wide-release film the past two years has had an opening weekend of $5,300 per theater.] Early reviews are fairly positive at RottenTomatoes: 64% positive so far. Out of the Furnace is on track for maybe $20 million domestic.
|
NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND December 6-8, 2013 |
Critics Positive | ($ millions) | ||||
| Opening Weekend Forecast | Domestic Total Projection | |||||
| Out of the Furnace | Rel | R | 64% | 6.5 | 20 | |
Hunger Games: Catching Fire.
|
RETURNING FILMS December 6-8, 2013 |
Change vs Last Weekend | ($ millions) | |||
| Weekend Forecast | Showbuzz Domestic Final Proj. | ||||
| Frozen 3D | Dis | -52% | 32.6 | 260 | |
| The Hunger Games: Catching Fire | LG/Sum | -58% | 31.6 | 475 | |
| Thor: The Dark World | Dis | -54% | 5.2 | 215 | |
| Best Man Holiday | Uni | -47% | 4.3 | 81 | |
| Delivery Man | Dis | -50% | 3.4 | 35 | |
| Homefront | ORF | -54% | 3.2 | 22 | |
| The Book Thief | Fox | -43% | 2.8 | 20 | |
| Philomena | Weins | -40% | 2.2 | 22 | |
| Black Nativity | Fox | -48% | 1.9 | 15 | |
Box Office Volume
For the past four years, the top 12 films the weekend after Thanksgiving week have averaged $87 million total, ranking 47th of 52 weeks. Last year, this weekend’s total was $106 million (while 2011 was $74 million and 2010 was $78 million). This Friday-Sunday is looking like $97 million, up 11% from the multi-year average for the comparable weekend but down 8% from the comparable weekend last year.
This Weekend Last Two Years
11.30.2012
Killing Them Softly WEINS R Brad Pitt Ray Liotta
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $8 Actual: $7
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $21 Actual: $15
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $23
The Collection LD ENTR
Opening Weekend — Forecast: $3 Actual: $3
Domestic Gross — Estimate: $8 Actual: $7
International — Estimate: n/a Actual: $0
12.2.2011
No releases
Check back throughout the weekend for box office updates as the actual numbers come in.
About the Author
