NOTE:  UPDATED THROUGHOUT WITH STUDIO ESTIMATES Black Friday was, as always, a very bright day for movies.  The holiday weekend continues to belong to THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART I (Lionsgate), which soared 118% from Thursday to a terrific $24.1M.  Even though Mockingjay continues to lag behind the previous Hunger Games installments, that’s a […]

Weekend #20 of 2016 forecasts for films opening wide and major returning films: NEW FILMS THIS WEEKEND May 13-15, 2016 Critics Positive ($ millions) Opening Weekend Forecast Domestic Total Projection Overseas Total Projection Worldwide Total Projection Money Monster Sony R n/a 9.5 24 14 38 The Darkness High Top PG13 n/a 4.5 11 2 13 […]

> We’re still a few hours away from the release of actual boxoffice numbers for last weekend (check back for Mitch Metcalf’s full analysis when the figures are official), but The Hollywood Reporter is claiming that COWBOYS AND ALIENS has pulled ahead of THE SMURFS for the weekend crown, with $35.7-36M compared to Smurfs’ $35.6M.  […]

  OPENINGS:  LIGHTYEAR (Pixar/Disney) was a tricky attempt to extend the hugely lucrative Toy Story franchise, both a prequel and a spinoff that featured a different version of the titular character than the one audiences have loved for decades.  Disney didn’t manage to convince fans that it was essential viewing, and the result was a […]

>Through Thursday, Team Metcalf has pulled within $400,000 of Team Salem in the first annual ShowBuzzDaily Summer Movie Draft.  Another weekend of Transformers: Dark of the Moon (around $45 million) and two new comedies (each around $25 million) should put Metcalf about $90 million up by Sunday.  As we have discussed before, that should be […]

  OPENINGS:  Every time a Christian movie sells some tickets, the pundits treat it as though they’ve seen… well, a miracle.  But at this point there have been plenty of these “miracles,” and people should just accept that the films fill a sizable niche.  (And that because of their narrow-yet-intense audience, they’re nearly always underestimated […]

WORLDWIDE STUDIO SCORECARD.  Updated look at 2016 by studio.   YEAR TO DATE BOX OFFICE. Looking at North American box office, 2016 to date is still +4% above last year and still +5% above the average for this point the past four years ($6.905 billion).  Over the same period, Hollywood films have grossed $18.3 billion worldwide when we add […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #39 of 2014 looks like $99 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 5% above the norm for this weekend ($95 million) and just a shade under yesterday’s estimate ($100 million). Opening at 3,236 theaters, The Equalizer from Sony grossed $12.6 million Friday and $13.6 million Saturday, now […]