>
The past week (seven days ending Sunday) came in up 19% versus last year’s comparable week (the fourth significant increase in as many weeks). Year-to-date box office is now down 4.6% versus last year. Rise of the Planet of the Apes from 20th Century Fox set the pace for a solid weekend: it beat its weekend forecast (issued Thursday) and it beat the Sunday studio projection, indicating strong late weekend interest. The Change-Up from Universal was a non-factor this weekend.
The Past Week: Total Box Office Volume
All films in wide release playing between August 1 and 7 grossed a very good $250 million, up 19% versus the same week in 2010 and up 23% from the average comparable week the past four years. Year to date, all films are now down 4.6% from the same period last year (down from -5.4% last week), and all films year-to-date are up 2% versus the comparable year-to-date number averaged over the last four years.
All Films August 1-7
(millions) 4yr vs vs
2010 Avg 2011 2010 Avg
Week #30 $203 $211 $250 +23% +19%
Year to Date $6749 $6345 $6441
-4.6% + 2%
Updated Estimates of Final Grosses
The ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Grosses (the estimated North American gross when the film ends its run) are now:
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 ($368 million, 99th percentile for all wide releases the past two years)
Transformers: Dark of the Moon ($359 million, 99th percentile)Captain America ($179 million, 92nd percentile)
Rise of the Planet of the Apes ($157 million, 89th percentile)
The Smurfs ($127 million, 85th percentile)
Horrible Bosses ($121 million, 84th percentile)
Cowboys & Aliens ($101 million, 79th percentile)
Zookeeper ($81 million, 72nd percentile)
Crazy, Stupid, Love ($76 million, 70th percentile)
Friends with Benefits ($64 million, 64th percentile)
Larry Crowne ($36 million, 43rd percentile)
Winnie the Pooh ($29 million, 33rd percentile)
Monte Carlo ($23 million, 23rd percentile)
Note Harry Potter‘s domestic final estimate is now higher than Transformers‘ again.
Weekend Actuals vs Sunday’s Studio Projections
The weekend Studio Projection (Friday and Saturday actual numbers with estimates for Sunday’s box office) for Rise of the Planet of the Apes was actually low ($800,000 lower than the actual weekend). This is a good sign for Rise as it indicates Sunday was very strong and might be a good indicator of positive word of mouth. The projection for The Change-Up exactly matched the actual weekend number.
Weekend of Sunday Monday Showbuzz
August 1-7 Studio Weekend Domestic
(millions) Estimate Actual Total
Rise of Planet of Apes (Fox) $54.0 $54.8 $157
The Smurfs (Sony) $21.0 $20.7 $127
Cowboys & Aliens (Uni) $15.7 $15.7 $101
The Change-Up (Uni) $13.5 $13.5 $ 36
Captain America (Par) $13.0 $13.0 $179
Harry Potter 8 (WB) $12.2 $12.4 $368
Crazy, Stupid, Love (WB) $12.1 $12.0 $ 76
Friends with Benefits (Sony) $ 4.7 $ 4.7 $ 64
Horrible Bosses (WB) $ 4.6 $ 4.6 $121
Transformers 3 (Par) $ 3.0 $ 3.1 $359
Zookeeper (Sony) $ 2.2 $ 2.2 $ 81
Look for the Summer Movie Draft update later today (Monday).
Related Posts
-
WEEKEND ACTUALS
>Deadline is reporting that Cowboys & Aliens ended up edging The Smurfs at the weekend finish line, $36.4 million to $35.6 million. But remember that given the genre of each film, The Smurfs should easily outgross Cowboys & Aliens in the long run. The #1 status of Cowboys & Aliens…
-
FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS & YEAR TO DATE Aug 8-14
>Another strong week in North American movie theaters. The full week box office (August 8-14) generated $236 million, up 16% versus the same week last year and up 10% versus the average week the past four years.Year-to-date box office is $6.677 billion, now down only 4.0% from this time last…
-
Weekend Box Office Predictions
The weekend predictions will return next week, when Exodus: God and Kings and Top Five are released nationally. This weekend, typical for the post-Thanksgiving weekend, is extremely quiet. Only The Pyramid is opening at a very small 589 theaters.
-
FULL WEEK BOX OFFICE ACTUALS MAY 16-22: Up Week Versus Last Year
>The past week came in up 10% versus last year’s comparable week. Year-to-date box office is now down 12% versus last year. The Past Week: Total Box Office VolumeAll films in wide release playing between May 16 and May 22 grossed $202 million, up 10% versus the same week…
-
