Last weekend we said domestic box office would get back on track, and it turned out to be another very weak weekend (the third weekend in a row down around 20%).  We are going out on a limb again this week, forecasting an okay box office performance, with the top 12 films generating about $88 […]

  Rebooting an aged horror franchise can be tough.  Recent attempts to bring back Alien, Scream and Friday the 13th have faltered, and now Saw, rechristened as JIGSAW (Lionsgate), isn’t off to much of a start.  Preliminary numbers at Deadline have opening day at $7.5M, much lower than the $10.7M for Saw 3D, the last […]

  CAPTAIN AMERICA: THE WINTER SOLDIER (Disney) declined about 10% to as much as $34M on Saturday, according to preliminary numbers at Deadline, which should give it a $95M opening weekend, the best April opening ever.  By way of comparison, the previous April record-holder Fast Five dropped 13% on its second day (for a $86.2M […]

>Well, it’s officially a rout.  Team Salem has built a whopping $225 million lead, even with the under-performance of Green Lantern.  If Team Metcalf is going to get back into this contest, Cars 2 better behave like a high-end Pixar film and Transformers: Dark of the Moon needs to be a mega-hit.  Next update on […]

  In terms of percentage, THE DARK KNIGHT RISES (Warners) should have about the same Weekend 3 drop that The Dark Knight did, but since it’s already below Dark Knight, the actual weekend number will be around 15% lower ($36M compared to $42M).  It’s now clear that Rises will–despite being a blockbuster hit to the […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #50 of 2014 now looks like $78 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, a touch better than yesterday’s estimate ($76 million) but still down sharply from the norm for this weekend (down 39% from $127 million) and down 45% from the same weekend last year.   Opening […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #25 of 2014 looks like $144 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, 11% below the norm for this weekend and a big 38% below the same very successful weekend last year.   Opening at 2,225 theaters, Think Like a Man Too from Sony grossed $12.2 million Friday and is on […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, the final weekend of 2013 looks like a great finish: $193 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up substantially from the same weekend last year (see comparisons to previous years at the bottom).  The new films this long weekend are actually not breaking through in a big way: it’s the […]