> Variety has some very early Friday numbers.  As of midafternoon, The Lion King is doing well, with numbers that are being extrapolated to $15M+ for the weekend.  The other newcomers are less impressive:  Drive may get to a possible $10M+ weekend (the film has received exceptional reviews totalling 93% on Rotten Tomatoes, so it’ll […]

  OPENINGS:  TERMINATOR: GENISYS (Skydance/Paramount) had hoped, even with July 4th subduing Saturday business, to find a holiday spark that would allow it to earn at least a $150M total in the US, but after a $28.7M opening weekend ($44.2M including Wed-Thurs), it may be hard-pressed to get past $100M.  That puts additional pressure on […]

The 37th weekend of 2012 is looking like $71 million for the Top 12 films Friday-Sunday, a rebound from last week’s near record low but still around 17% below comparable weekends in the past.  Resident Evil: Retribution opened about how we forecast Wednesday, but Finding Nemo 3D is opening well below our forecast in second […]

  OPENINGS:  There weren’t a lot of significant changes from Friday night’s picture of the weekend box office.  The only wide opening, ESCAPE ROOM (Columbia/Sony), inevitably fell 13% on Saturday, considering its genre and its unusually early Thursday afternoon start.  Nevertheless, the $18M studio weekend estimate should stand up, and that’s a solid number for […]

Based on Friday’s grosses, weekend #32 of 2015 looks like $119 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down significantly from the norm for this weekend (see track below). Opening at 3,995 theaters Friday, Fantastic Four from Fox is on track for a listless $27.0 million opening three-day weekend (well below our $46.5 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). […]

Weekend #43 of 2015 is looking like $111 million for the top 12 films this weekend, above the norm for this weekend (see comparisons below). Steve Jobs from Universal should collect around a $18.5 million in its first wide weekend. Through Sunday, the total to date should be around $21 million. The film is on track for around $65 million domestic […]

  OPENINGS:  Here’s the crazy thing about the official record-busting $238M weekend estimate for STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS (Lucasfilm/Disney), which smashed the previous weekend record by more than 12%, and nearly tripled the prior December record:  it’s on the conservative side.  Flying in the face of most studio behavior in reporting opening weekends, Disney […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #11 of 2015 now looks like $124 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, up solidly from the norms for this weekend.   Opening at 3,845 theaters Friday, Cinderella from Disney is on track for a $70.1 million opening three-day weekend (near our $69.5 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast earlier this week). The film […]