ALADDIN (Disney) marked a rebound from the opening day of Dumbo, with preliminary numbers at Deadline projecting $30.8M on Friday (including $7M from Thursday afternoon/evening), compared to $15.3M for Dumbo. The Memorial Day holiday will provide an extra boost, so the 3-day weekend should be around $86M, with $106M by Monday. Aladdin wasn’t cheap, probably carrying production/marketing costs of $325M+, but a $300M US total, combined with expected healthy business overseas, would provide a tidy profit.
JOHN WICK CHAPTER 3: PARABELLUM (Thunder Road/Summit/Lionsgate) fell 71% from last Friday to $6.6M, a steeper drop than the first 2 Wicks, which declined 67%/62% on their 2nd Fridays. Again the holiday Sunday should help level things out, and Parabellum may have a $28M weekend, $33M with Monday, on its way to $160M in the US.
The 5th Friday of AVENGERS: ENDGAME (Marvel/Disney) dipped 44% from last week to $4.1M, for a $17M 3-day weekend, $20M with Monday, as it heads to $835M in the US.
POKEMON: DETECTIVE PIKACHU (Legendary/Warners) dropped 48% to $3.3M on its 3rd Friday, and should be headed to $14M by Sunday, $16M with Monday, still en route to $150M in the US.
The low-budget R-rated thriller BRIGHTBURN (Screen Gems/Sony) opened with $3M, and might hit $8M over the 3-day weekend, $9M with Monday. A $20M US total would be a borderline result, probably requiring some enthusiasm overseas for profit.
BOOKSMART (Annapurna/United Artists/MGM) had few marketing angles to play aside from sheer quality, and it’s going to hope that word of mouth will spark a lengthy slow-burn run, with no direct competition for the teen comedy audience on the horizon. It started with a soft $2.6M on Friday, and will look toward $8M+ by Sunday and $10M by Monday if that strategy is paying off.
THE HUSTLE (United Artists/MGM) dropped 41% on its 3rd Friday to $1M, and may see $3.5M by Sunday and $4.5M with Monday, stretching to reach $40M in the US.
A DOG’S JOURNEY (Amblin/Reliance/Walden/Alibaba/Universal) fell 56% from last Friday to $1.1M, steeper than the 47% Friday-to-Friday drop for A Dog’s Purpose. That means it won’t make up any ground from its much lower opening, and might manage $4M by Sunday and $5.5M with Monday as it trudges toward $25M in the US.
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