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Act of Valor from Relativity opened with $9.0 million Friday for an estimated $25.7 million for Friday-Sunday, way above the $18.0 million ShowBuzzDaily forecast. The war movie featuring real Navy SEALs is averaging $8,500 on 3,039 screens. Act of Valor is headed for a preliminary $70 million total domestic.
Tyler Perry’s Good Deeds (from Lionsgate) opened with $5.4 million Friday for $14.6 million Friday-Sunday, missing the $17.0 million prediction. The latest from Tyler Perry should average around $6,800 at 2,132 theaters this weekend. Good Deeds is headed for a preliminary $38 million domestic. No, it’s not going to be the $90 million when Perry dressed up for Madea Goes to Jail or the $63 million when he did the same thing for Madea’s Family Reunion. But give the man some credit for trying some other things and not sticking to a formula.
Wanderlust (from Universal) opened with $2.2 million Friday — on track for $6.2 million this weekend, badly missing a very modest $9.0 million forecast. The Paul Rudd-Jennifer Aniston comedy should average $3,100 this weekend at 2,002 theaters. Wanderlust is on track for $19 million total domestic.
Gone from Summit Entertainment opened with only $1.7 Friday, on its way to $4.5 million this weekend, also missing a very soft $6.0 million forecast. The Amanda Seyfried film should average a pitiful $2,000 this weekend at 2,186 theaters. Gone is on pace for $8 million total domestic.
The third weekend films are the pick of the holdovers, with Journey 2: The Mysterious Island holding the best, down a very good 32% from its second weekend. Safe House should be down 54% and The Vow down 57%. Through Sunday, Safe House should trail The Vow by about $5 million ($97.7 million versus $102.9 million to date), but we expect both films to ultimately finish with about $133 million. This Means War is on track to drop 50% in its second weekend, compared to a huge 65% decline for Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance.
In case you missed them, click to see this week’s Weekend Predictions
(millions) Showbuzz Early FRI Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final
Act of Valor (Rel) [$18.0] $25.7 $ 9.0 $ 70
TP’s Good Deeds (LG) [$17.0] $14.6 $ 5.4 $ 38
Journey 2 (WB) [$12.8] $13.5 $ 3.2 $118+
Safe House (Uni) [$13.0] $11.0 $ 3.1 $133
This Means War (Fox) [$ 9.5] $ 8.8 $ 2.7 $ 53+
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $113 million total Friday-Sunday, up 18% from the same calendar weekend last year and up 22% from the more typical volume for this weekend in other years.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #8
2012 $113 Act of Valor $25.7, Good Deeds $14.6, Wanderlust $6
2011 $ 96 Hall Pass $13.5, Drive Angry 3D $5
2010 $107 Cop Out $18, The Crazies $16
2009 $ 87 Jonas Brothers 3D Concert $12.5, Street Fighter $5
2008 $ 80 Semi-Pro $15, Other Boleyn Girl $8
2008-11
Avg $ 92
Check back tomorrow for updated weekend figures and revised estimates for domestic final grosses.
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