>Super 8 beats the forecast with a solid opening. The weekend top 12 are looking to be down a bit from 2010.
Super 8 opened with $13.2 million on Friday, and it looks like the JJ Abrams film will gross almost $41 million from Friday-Sunday. The film is headed for $118 million in North America when it crosses the finish line, according to the ShowBuzzDaily Domestic Final estimate.
At the other extreme, Judy Moody and the NOT Bummer Summer opened with $2.2 million on Friday, on its way to about $6 million from Friday-Sunday. The film is headed for $12 million total in North America.
X-Men: First Class should drop about 54% from its opening weekend, and the film is still headed for $165 million. Hangover Part II has been downgraded again to $251 million, while Kung Fu Panda 2 has been upgraded a bit to $172 million. Bridesmaids continues to roll on — the comedy has been upgraded yet again to $156 million.
June 10-12, 2011 Pre-Wknd Wknd Showbuzz
(millions) Showbuzz Early Friday Domestic
Forecast Proj. Actual Final*
Super 8 (Par) [$33 ] $40.8 $13.2 $118
X-Men: First Class (Fox) [$28 ] $25.5 $ 7.7 $165
Kung Fu Panda 2 (Par/DW) [$15 ] $17.2 $ 4.6 $172+
Hangover Part II (WB) [$15 ] $16.9 $ 5.7 $251–
Pirates Caribbean 4 (Dis)[$10 ] $11.1 $ 3.2 $234
Bridesmaids (Uni) [$ 9 ] $10.0 $ 3.1 $156++
Judy Moody Bummer (Rel) [$ 6.5] $ 6.0 $ 2.2 $ 12
Midnight in Paris (Sony) [$ 5.5] $ 5.2 $ 1.6 $ 36
Thor (Par) [$ 2.5] $ 2.3 $ 0.7 $182
Note: The table above summarizes an early look at the weekend. The first column is reminder of each film’s ShowbuzzDaily Forecast for the weekend (in brackets). The second column, on which the films are sorted, displays the new weekend projection for each film, based on the Friday numbers (the third column). The final column is a preliminary estimate of the ShowbuzzDaily Domestic Total number for the film’s total run in North America. A “++” indicates the Domestic number has been upgraded; a “–” indicates a downgrade.
Limited Releases
Terrence Malick’s The Tree of Life is now playing at 47 theaters and will average over $17,300 per theater this weekend. The cume for the movie will be $2.3 million after the weekend concludes.
Total Box Office Volume
The Top 12 Films this weekend are looking like $138 million total, down 5% from the same calendar weekend last year.
Top 12 Films: Weekend #23
(millions)
Volume
2011 $138 (-7% vs 2007-10 average; -5% vs 2010)
2007-10
Avg $148
Movies Opening That Weekend
2010 $145 Karate Kid $56, A-Team $26
2009 $132 Taking of Pelham 123 $23, Imagine That $5.5
2008 $176 Incredible Hulk $55, The Happening $30
2007 $140 Fantastic Four 2 $58, Nancy Drew $7
Next Weekend
Opening next week are Green Lantern from Warner Brothers and Mr Popper’s Penguins from Fox. Those movies will be compared to Toy Story 3 ($110 million opening weekend) and Jonah Hex ($5.4 million).
Look for updates of the weekend box office on Sunday, based on the Saturday actual numbers.
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