Weekend #4 of 2014 is looking like $107 million for the top 12 films, up 7% from the average for this weekend the past few years. Opening at around 2,700 theaters Friday (slightly below the 2,886 average theater count for opening weekends the last two years), I, Frankenstein from Lionsgate/Summit should average a mediocre $5,800 per theater for the […]

Based on Friday’s and Saturday’s grosses, weekend #23 of 2014 now looks like $156 million for the top 12 films Friday-Sunday, down from yesterday’s $165 million estimate but still 4% above the norm for this weekend and 9% above the same weekend last year.   Opening at 3,173 theaters, The Fault in Our Stars from 20th Century […]

> Let the summer begin!  The fourth Pirates of the Caribbean will open all by itself with close to $95 million this weekend. Opening at over 4,000 theaters, Pirates 4 should average a killer $23,500 per theater (for $94 million total).  On Stranger Tides is the most coolly-received movie in the franchise by critics (read […]

> There’s no way to slice or dice the numbers for COWBOYS AND ALIENS and make them any less sad.  The picture cost at least $165M (that’s the amount Universal will admit to), plus another $150M or so for worldwide marketing, and as Mitch Metcalf notes, it’s now on track to gross less than $100M […]

Wreck-It-Ralph enters the worldwide chart with a modest $12 million overseas to date, but that will grow to match and probably exceed the $171 million we expect for the film domestically.  The film could end up with $350-375 million worldwide ultimately. Skyfall, which opens Friday in North America, is already up to $287 million overseas in […]

In the movie 42, Jackie Robinson (played by Chadwick Boseman) repeatedly asks Branch Rickey why he is breaking baseball’s unwritten whites-only rule.  Rickey (played by Harrison Ford) gives very vague, unsatisfying responses each time.  What a blown dramatic opportunity.  In Ken Burns’ nine-part documentary masterpiece “Baseball,” an aged Red Barber (the Dodgers’ radio broadcaster) describes the […]

> The Hogwarts Express has started its journey:  last night’s midnight showings of HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS (PART 2) blew past the previous midnight record of $30M (Twilight:  Eclipse) and grossed an incredible $43.5M from those screenings alone.  According to the Hollywood Reporter, this included sold-out houses for every single 3D midnight performance […]

>The 11th weekend of the year should generate about $101 million for the top 12 films, a somewhat soft weekend for the third weekend in March — down 3% from last year’s comparable weekend and down a similar percentage from the four-year average for this weekend.  If the forecast is correct this will be the […]