The Sked: Wednesday Ratings September 19

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FOX won the night with two hours of The X Factor, a preliminary 3.5 Adult 18-49 rating from 8-10 pm.  This is up one tenth from the 3.4 premiere last Wednesday and could possibly rise to a 3.6 in the official nationals, but FOX had to be hoping for a bigger lift from last week without an original Voice against it.  This will be down about half a rating point from last year (week two of X Factor scored a 4.1 on Wednesday, September 28).  Last May in our Wednesday ratings forecast for the fall, we said  X Factor would average a 3.8 for the entire September through December period, scoring a 3.7 in the 8 pm hour and 3.9 in the 9 pm hour.   It looks like we could be right in the 9 pm hour (last night averaged a 4.0 for the second half) but we were too optimistic for the first half (last night was a 3.1 from 8-9 pm).  We’ll see how it shakes out in the coming weeks with original episodes against it, but X Factor is going to have a very difficult time keeping pace with last season.

CBS was a second-place 2.8 rating last night with its traditional Survivor premiere and Big Brother finale night.  Survivor averaged a 3.1 from 8-9:30 pm, down a significant three tenths from last year’s fall premiere on September 14 (3.4).  Big Brother at a 2.5 last night from 9:30-11 pm was down slightly more (from a 2.9 last fall).  We forecast Survivor could average a 3.2 for the entire fall, which is still possible.

NBC averaged a 1.4 for the night with repeats of The Voice (1.7), SVU (1.2) and Revolution (1.2).

ABC was fourth with a 1.1 from 8-11 pm.  The comedy repeats ranged from Modern Family (1.6) to Suburgatory (1.0), while a repeat Revenge at 10 pm posted a 0.7.

Tonight, NBC is all new with its comedy line-up premieres and a new Rock Center, while FOX continues its original Thursday with new X Factor and Glee episodes.  CBS and ABC will get into the game on Thursday next week.